Russia’s designs on Georgia is a very different matter. It is uknown, rather than unknowable (an important destinction when approaching information)

On the publicly accessible level, any evidence in regards to Russia’s intent is circumstantial. However, there is some.

1) SO was behind escalations since August 1st. SO are puppets of Russian government, hence the escalation was most likely sanctioned by Russian government.

2) SO began ferrying its Children to summer camps in Russia under a new program, several days before the conflict.

3) Saakashvili claimed that he has received US satellite photos before, showing advancing Russian armor, before making the decision to attack Tshinvali. (the veracity of this is dubious).

4) Russia’s reaction was instant and combat strategy very good, indicating pre-existing plans and high level of readiness. The two things Russia is not generally known for.

My operating assumption, therefore, until I see any evidence to the contrary, is that Russia has planned to invade Georgia all along. Saakashvili simply gave them a better excuse than they hoped for.