Belmont Club

By Richard Fernandez

Bio

Get Updates From Richard Fernandez
A Comment About

The real thing

September 30, 2009 - 5:17 am - by Richard Fernandez
Josh
2009-09-30 10:59:18

ADE @ 2: Don’t tell me it’s RoE

Well, not just RoE, it’s also as wow&flutter says, the amorphous goo that is Afghanistan. What are the best RoE for amorphous goo? This is the “strength” of Islam’s decentralized structure – as a first approximation, bombing any given target just makes more of it.

Nothing new here, nothing the Romans didn’t face with Carthage. And I doubt it needs to go that far, we have levels of force available at our fingertips, the Romans could hardly imagine in Zeus. But if our RoE is stuck at about a 3 on a scale of 100, and it might take, oh, an eleven or fifteen to be effective, AND a lot of nation building, well, our current politics and aesthetics are just not there for it. Note that nation building by itself is probably no good – at least, not on a decade timeframe. Centuries, maybe. In fact, it will probably happen over several decades or a century or three, if we just stand back and contain it. That’s the argument some are making for us “pulling out” – we pull out, but keep launching Predators (from where? I guess even the “pull out” requires we have a presence in the cities – to launch Predators et al, but that won’t work, our fixed bases will be shelled and the price too high, since we can’t (WON’T) take action to stop it).

So, our President, Obama, what will he make of this? Will he send in the community organizers? Offer to pay ten billion a year jizya for peace?

Stay tooned.