Buddy Larson: if they drop something and then get shot down, it’s one bomber for a large chunk of US naval force projection. Then the Rus pilot will, natch, turn out to’ve been a “rogue” angered at “the US’s ___________(fill in the blank)”. At what point does USN shoot first, 80 miles from the carrier? Now? Or after we lose a carrier?

After they make their attack (which won’t necessarily sink the carrier), but following that, it’s red and free on all Russian aircraft, lest they be manned by more “rogues”.