6km zone on the Georgian side given to Russians for patrols is a disaster. Rice was a bigger failure than Sarkozy with his “additional security measures”. US has blinked and, therefore, may lose Georgia and, consequently, Ukraine. Russia is trying to gauge situation in Georgia in longer term, while destroying their infrastructure. 6km zone helped them a great deal. Georgians could deal with losing their claims on SO and Abkhazia, but not with Russians on their soil (for indeterminate amount of time). Georgian opposition has already demanded early elections. If Russians see Saakashvili as unlikely to survive in the midterm, they are likely to honor that agreement. Otherwise, we may yet see the taking of Tbilisi. I doubt that US is supplying Georgians with weapons. Otherwise 6km zone would not be a necessary concession.

As to Turkey, they would never close the traits to US. However, they have likely pledged their neutrality if Russia will leave the pipeline intact and maybe for smth else, like Adjaria, should the shit hit the fan. At this point US should start talking to Turkish generals about a coup, before their army is completely subverted. Kurds would be a good backup plan.