@sigintel

Most likely Russia will convey to the West that it has found evidence of the Saakashvili war crimes and intends to pursue and prosecute him. Maybe arrange, for him to flee into exile, also announce that Georgia has done irreparable harm in its relationship with SO and so Abkhazia and SO should be given independence to prevent further ethnic conflict. Make those things the conditions of the pull out. Then, if West accepts and Saakashvili goes into exile, the new govt, with FSBs help will be much more pro-Russian, slowly coming under total Russian control, despite Western peacemakers, that will undoubtedly be sent into Georgia under OSCE, NATO, or UN auspices.