In terms of fallback positions, Armenia must be considered to be Russian territory on a de facto level. Armenia not only has a Russian military base, but it is strongly allied with Iran against Azerbaijan (due to the Nagorno-Karabakh war). For obvious reasons, Armenia will oppose Turkey for the next five hundred years, which presently means that it effectively opposes NATO as well.
This leaves Georgia’s border with Turkey as a base of support. Yet, this is tricky for Georgia because of the historic hostility between Orthodox Christians and Islam. Russia will almost certainly claim that Georgia’s president has become a puppet of the Turks, which is precisely why Georgia is so desperate for western aid. Even if aid is routed through Turkey, the aid must not be perceived in the Caucasus as Turkish in origin lest Russia gain an important propaganda point.
On the other hand, Romanian supplies and perhaps even Romanian troops would be very welcome in Georgia. The presence of Romanian help in Georgia would undermine any Russian attempt to use religion as a weapon, it would be helpful in its own right, and it would even be in Romania’s geopolitical interests!
If Georgia were clever enough, it’s possible that Georgia could raise volunteer brigades from Romania, Serbia, Bulgaria, Macedonia, and Greece. Perhaps even Ukraine. This would be especially possible if Russia were portrayed as selling out Serbs in Kosovo after Serbia sold out its state oil company to Gazprom.








