Belmont Club

By Richard Fernandez

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Who’s winning Georgia Part 2

August 10, 2008 - 6:51 am - by Richard Fernandez
wretchard
2008-08-10 08:25:39

The Georgians have now offered the Russians terms. Will the Russians accept? If they do, the Georgians may gain time, but Russia has more resources and therefore delay will work in its favor as it allows them to bring more forces up, whereas Georgia has no more to generate. From a military standpoint the Russians have everything to gain by accepting if all they wanted was South Ossetia. If they don’t answer or equivocate, the Georgians gain at least this: they will have determined Russian intentions and have made the fact plain to all onlookers.