I don’t see the Democrats taking it from Sen. Obama because African Americans will leave the Party — not just stay home but vote for Sen. McCain. Also, they would look like disorganized rabble at their convention and who would want them running the country? In which case they lose the Presidency and perhaps the Congress as well. I think it would require Hillary to take 80 percent of the White Female vote to win, since black females won’t be voting for her. I don’t see it.

No. I think Hillary wants Barack to lose in November and lose big (put him out of the running for 2012) even while she campaigns for him (and her voters vote for McCain). Then she has a clear shot at 2012.

Obama has to deal. If he wins, she gets a Supreme Court nomination. If he loses, he pledges support for her run in 2012. That’s for the minimum cooperation at the convention and during the campaign. He will have to give her something along those lines or watch the Clintons put a hole in his hull.