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By Richard Fernandez

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Insurgency vs counterinsurgency

February 10, 2009 - 4:12 am - by Richard Fernandez
Wadeusaf
2009-02-11 06:05:21

In Afghanistan, roads.
But roads to where? Pakistan?
Whatever road you are on, NG, asphalt, Cable, Aqueduct or even a friggin logging road, the trouble with Afghanistan is that it is 100% surrounded by places that look just like it, act just like it, and smell just like it acting as a buffer for places that don’t. The most reliable, most economical and most direct, route for supply is Pakistan. The most unreliable ally we have had in this GWOT is KSA, er Pakistan. The NWFT is in Pakistan.

It stands to reason that if we wish to have an impact in Afghanistan we need to take care of business in Pakistan.

I figure the best thing we can do will be done while fighting our way out…through Pakistan. It is not a stretch to realize that where this adventure is leading…is…, Say it with me now…,
PAKISTAN. Afghanistan resistance to USSR is the only reason the Taliban and Al Qaeda exist and the only reason they existed in Afghanistan is because of …Say it again…Pakistan.
I don’t know how much chai one has to drink to realize that nothing is going to work long term in Afghanistan, no one (not even Bin Laden) can be captured in Afghanistan, until some real progress is made in Pakistan.

Did I mention I think Pakistan might have some influence in Afghanistan? If we were a medical team we could be charged with malpractice. The Bear sees it, as does the Dragon, and although no one wants to say it, so too do the Europeans. Even and especially so, does India.

I have run out of patience with the Pakistani’s, and the formerly disbanded court’s decision to release AQ Kahn, along with a lack of follow up on the Butto assasination and the luke warm response to Mumbai, and the et cetera, et cetera, et cetera.

A proper hammer and a well placed anvil, is what is required. Our forces may have to play one part to survive. Whose up for the other?