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By Richard Fernandez

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Thinking the no longer unthinkable

December 11, 2008 - 4:59 am - by Richard Fernandez
twobyfour
2008-12-11 14:17:12

@ 65. Eggplant

A great majority of Iranian mullahs are nominal — e.g they don’t buy that crap, it’s just biz, a great racket. “Rational” pragmatists, as it were.

However, the minority that is represented by Ahmanutjob are mahdists. It is this minority that presently controls most of key positions, and it’s they that dictate the Iran’s policies. The parliament is just a rubber stamping institution.

So, as soon as they are able to start a mayhem, they will. The only question is how. Although “wiping Israel off the map” is their stated goal — which ties to their mahdist ideology, its eschatology does not speak of Israel but Jews, but it is equated — their main “concern” is to quicken Mahdi’s appearance.

Whatever would be, from their POV, the most expedient way, that would reflect in their tactical behavior. If they detonate a nuke in NYC, that may serve a purpose, but may fall short of mayhem they envision, e.g. Iran will get glassified and that would be the end of it. Therefore they are selecting a target that would guarantee a widespread mayhem. Something not expected and guaranteeing a “chain” reaction. They presume that either Israel would be caught in the middle and dealt a blow by default, or that they would have ample time to strike it when all hell breaks loose.

IOW, they are after a Global Thermo-Nuclear War, not just wiping Israel off the map.

So yes, there is a degree of misdirection present, but not for internal consumption — Iranian population frankly does not care about Israel one way or another.

Israel eliminating Iranian nuke facilities would not only do a favor to themselves, but to the whole world. In fact, anyone who would do it would be doing the same favor.

It’s just… there is not that many that are able to see through the smokescreen.