The close polling data will have the effect of lulling McCain into running a safe campaign that tries to preserve what he has, hoping the independents will swing his way in October and put him over the top, while Obama can afford to take risk after risk because he’s young and he’ll be back, even if McCain wins this time. But the race is really fifty different races, and three months is a lifetime in Presidential politics. Anything can happen. There could be an “incident” with Iran. Barack could go with Hillary after all and set up the “Dream Ticket”.