The surge wasn’t the black swan that won in Iraq. It ain’t the size of the dog in the fight, but the fight in the dog. The black swan was the will to win possessed by GW Bush. Though the phenomenon is so well known as to be a cliche, the fact that a strong enough will to win could defeat the enemy and brush aside all the harpy cries of the anti-American leftists was a surprise to the left. Why a surprise? Because they know nothing about war, while posing in the pleasant delusion that they know it all.