It very important to realize that Iraq is NOT Afghanistan. “Surging” troops in Afghanistan is exactly the wrong COA. We must pull out all uniformed soldiers from Afghanistan. Our footprint needs to return to near zero. Afghans will continue to fight foreign soldiers regardless of the conditions or the probability of success. Afghans do not tolerate FID or any other COIN methods that worked in Iraq or the Philippines or any other method. The best that can be done is to under-the-carpet support the government and then get the hell out. And, if they become a terror haven, go back in and do it again. Nothing else is feasible.