Steveaz:

The problem with a lot of web posts about the election is that they rely on media reports and polls for their ledes. In effect, the web, and I mean even the conservative side of the web, is tailoring itself into a subsidiary of the mainstream media.

As long as this is the case, we have to expect that the commentariat at even conservative blogs will be infected by memes produced and hyped by liberal media, such as the assertion that Obama’s election is a done-deal.

Frankly, I don’t think the polls are off by that much. They had no problem showing a brief McCain/Palin lead. Opinions are still somewhat tentative, so a scandal that involves the Ayers/Dorhn connection could still swing things by alot, but absent such a game changer the odds for McCain/Palin are pretty long. Obama/Biden have managed to hit a kind of “perfect storm” where people are afraid about their economic future and this drives out all other issues. Moreover, there are fewer and fewer votes to fight for. Something like a quarter of the votes will have been cast before the election rolls around. That makes it even tougher for a late October surprise to change the election outcome, no matter how scandalous it may be.