“Barack Obama has been leading John McCain in the opinion polls. For about the past week, Gallup has been reporting that about 48%-49% of registered voters say they favor Obama. On one day, the percentage reached 50%. Meanwhile, McCain’s numbers have been around 42%-43%.”

All of the publicly released polls to date have given much greater weight to Democrat respondents than to Republicans, in anticipation of a much heavier turnout of Democrat voters. This was a questionable weighting when they started doing it months ago and it is starting to look completely bogus now that the Republican base is waking up.

The candidates’ internal polling is showing them the real score, state by state and electoral vote by electoral vote. I think Obama’s internals have been showing him behind for some time, but that is only my guess. Okay, it’s my hope too!