Belmont Club

By Richard Fernandez

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Stranger in a strange land

September 3, 2008 - 4:46 pm - by Richard Fernandez
Alexis
2008-09-04 21:29:43

There are two factions among Hillary Clinton’s supporters. There are those who genuinely support Hillary Clinton for President; the vast majority of these voters will vote for Barack Obama and many of them will feel offended by Sarah Palin, her policies, and her rhetoric. Some hardcore leftist feminists may vote for McCain and Palin, but not many. Then, there are about half of Hillary Clinton’s supporters who used the Clinton campaign as a flag of convenience to oppose Barack Obama in the Democratic primaries. This demographic segment is split fairly evenly between John McCain and Barack Obama. Picking Sarah Palin probably helped with this demographic. Sarah Palin’s biography and her values strongly appeal to Scots-Irish temperament; she will boost turnout in solidly Republican regions. While Presidents do get elected by the Electoral College, the popular vote is still important. And given the legitimacy the popular vote gives to an elected president, I think the McCain-Palin ticket will seek to run up the scores in states they will win simply to ensure that the Obama-Biden ticket doesn’t win the popular vote.