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Belmont Club

Hope vs Experience

June 22nd, 2014 - 5:48 pm

Samuel Johnson once observed that second marriages were the “triumph of hope over experience”.  Johnson might just as well have been talking about life in general.  The two conflicting impulses at the start of each morning are a) the desire to begin a happy day; and b) the regrettable habit of reading the news which ruins it all. You may start the toast on “Zip-a-Dee-Doo-Dah”, but by the time you get to the news with the last of the coffee your down to Alanis Morissette’s “It Figures”. For example, here is a survey of today’s news.

President Obama has warned himself advances by ISIS in Iraq could spill over into other countries, almost validating that political theory advanced on this site yesterday about the stovetop espresso theory of insurgency diffusion. ”Gunmen fighting Iraqi forces seized more territory along the country’s borders with Jordan and Syria, as President Barack Obama warned that advances by militants could spill over into neighboring countries,” says Bloomberg.

In order to prevent this castastrophe, Lee Smith notes the administration is hoping against hope to enlist Iran to stabilize Iraq. They’ve identified an Iranian miracle worker just right for the job. “Because Obama will not devote sufficient assets to stopping Sunni jihadists fighting from Beirut to Baghdad, the administration believes it has little choice but to work with the only actor with men on the ground that shares an interest in stopping groups like ISIS. Who else but Qassem Suleimani?”

Qassem Suleimani, in case you hadn’t heard, is Iran’s clandestine super-agent. He was once in the crosshairs of the Coalition, which luckily didn’t pull the trigger. This is fortunate, because Washington now regards Suleimani, in Smith’s words, as the “most interesting man in the world”, a combination of James Bond, Dr. Evil and Lex Luthor — it’s potential savior.

He’s considered a hero in Iran,” says Ali Alfoneh, an Iran expert at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies…. “I’m sure Suleimani enjoys the fact that the United States government, which has formally designated him a terrorist, now depends on his help to restore security in Iraq and save Baghdad from ISIS.”

Reuel Marc Gerecht warns the administration not to get its hopes up too high; because even though the Shi’ite Islamic militants are much smoother and vastly more intelligent version than their Sunni head-chopping counterparts, it’s wise to remember that Muslims of any stripe tend to regard America as the infidel enemy.

Sunni jihadists are certainly scarier now than their Shiite counterparts: Public decapitation with swords and knives is, at least in modern times, more Saudi than Persian, and suicide bombing, which Sunni radicals now relish, has passed into desuetude among Shiites. …

However, this loss isn’t going to moderate the clerical regime’s anti-American calling​—​the hope of those who now see an Iranian opportunity for America in Iraq … The Iranians will probably double down on their militant Sunni outreach, even as they fan the flames of sectarian war in both Syria and Iraq. They will reflexively try to find common ground with jihadists in anti-American rhetoric. …

whenever Islam is superheated, infidels fare poorly. While both sides of this old and bitter divide kill each other, Sunni and Shiite radicals will surely try to outbid each other over who is the staunchest enemy of the United States. In this ugly contest, the Iranians will be the more fascinating to watch: They are highbrow Islamic revolutionaries, which means, among other things, that they can esteem risqué Persian verse as much as they do nuclear physics. Qassem Suleimani, my Shiite Iraqi friends swear, can even be an entertaining dinner guest.

The “most interesting man in the world” will in any case be an anti-American one. But it’s all Obama has. Not only that, but the administration is dusting off all the contacts it once denounced. The Daily Beast says, “resident Obama isn’t just sending in the Green Berets as he begins to re-enter the war in Iraq. U.S. diplomats and military officers are also reaching out to discarded tribal allies and even the Iraqi who progressives blame for tricking George W. Bush into invading Iraq in the first place.”

The triumph of hope over experience.

However it looks like Gerecht will be right about Iran’s ultimate contempt for infidels. Reuters reports that Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has just told president Obama to get lost. “We are strongly opposed to U.S. and other intervention in Iraq,” IRNA news agency quoted Khamenei as saying. “We don’t approve of it as we believe the Iraqi government, nation and religious authorities are capable of ending the sedition.”

So it looks like Suleimani is going to work for Tehran — and not for Obama — after all.

More’s the pity, since Obama needs all the help he can get. The Washington Post notes the Ukraine, is acting up again.  There’s another stovetop espresso on the boil in eastern Europe threatening to send coffee westward. Carol Morello writes, “DNIPROPETROVSK, Ukraine — As government troops and insurgents were locked in heavy battles in eastern Ukraine on Thursday, NATO’s chief said a new Russian military buildup was underway near the border.”

These “heavy battles” and troop buildups have caused Francois Hollande and Angela Merkel to plead with Putin for a ceasefire. They are apparently carrying the load in Europe while Obama figures out a way to catch the attention of the Iranians.

In the discussion, Mr. Hollande and Ms. Merkel asked Mr. Putin to make “every necessary effort” to convince armed groups to stop fighting. “Otherwise, new measures will be adopted by the international community that will impact its relationship with Russia,” they added.

Earlier Thursday, the civilian head of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization said the alliance was seeing a buildup of Russian troops near the border with Ukraine, a development he described as “a very regrettable step backward.”

But it’s not as if Obama has forgotten Russia. He’s apparently come up with a sure-fire scheme for reducing tensions with Moscow. “U.S. Eliminates Multi-Warheads on All Ground-Based Nuclear Missiles,” says the Global Security Newswire. That should mollify Putin and signal that America has no aggressive intentions.

That’s his style. Obama likes to telegraph inaction.  He ruled out military action in Ukraine, ruled out ground troops in Iraq and is now ruling out MIRVs on land based nuclear missiles.

Crews carried out the final modification of an intercontinental ballistic missile at Malmstrom Air Force Base in Montana, the newspaper reported on Wednesday. The service implemented the alterations under a nuclear-arms pact with Russia.

The New START strategic arms-control treaty called for the change to the nation’s Minuteman 3 ICBMs, which were previously able to carry three “Multiple Independently Targetable Re-entry Vehicles.” The United States maintains roughly 450 of the missiles, deployed at the Montana facility and at bases in North Dakota and Wyoming.

Obama has also decided to unilaterally divest America of land mines on the DMZ border with North Korea. “Obama to Overrule Military on Landmines?”, writes Real Clear Defense. Apparently, the president is just waiting for the right time to announce it.

The Obama administration may be moving closer to banning landmines that U.S. military officials have said are critical to deterring aggression from North Korea.

The Wall Street Journal reports that President Obama is set next week to approve the Ottawa Treaty, an international treaty banning landmines, and position the Department of Defense to comply with the treaty.

However, a congressional source tells RealClearDefense that the timing of such an announcement is unclear and may be put off in the face of potential criticism from Congress, concerns from the South Korean government, and lingering reservations at the Pentagon.

Richard Cook made two observations about failure. The first is that ”human operators are both defenders and producers of failure”. Their fixes often only make things worse. Obama thinks he’s got a winning formula for peace and sticking with it. Obama, according to Shadow Foreign Policy, is so certain that withdrawing from Iraq was a good idea he wants to duplicate its success in Afghanistan. “The president appears to be sticking to his position that removing all troops from Iraq was not only necessary but also wise. He has committed to doing the same in Afghanistan, promising that all US troops will be out by the end of 2016.” This time he may be right. The only problem is to get them out before they are trapped.

India apparently, is not very sanguine about the future. Reuters says New Delhi may be stockpiling material for H-bombs. “India is expanding a covert uranium enrichment plant that could potentially support the development of thermonuclear weapons, a defense research group said on Friday, raising the stakes in a regional arms race with China and Pakistan.”

Not exactly a great endorsement in Obama’s vision of a “world without nuclear weapons”, but it’s not all bad news. The Washington Times says that the Iraqi crisis has not boosted oil prices as much as expected because of the gushers in America’s heartland.

The Iraq crisis follows Russia’s takeover of Crimea and its backing of rebels fighting the Kiev government in eastern Ukraine, prompting the U.S. and Europe to threaten broad sanctions on Russia’s economy, including its vital oil sector. Such sanctions have the potential to throttle oil exports from the world’s top producer and deprive much of Europe of a critical source of oil.

In the past, either of these two major threats to oil supplies — and certainly both of them together — would have sent world oil prices soaring and pushed prices at U.S. gas pumps to uncomfortable and possibly unprecedented levels. But that is not happening, and analysts are attributing the relative calm, with premium crude prices having risen moderately to a range around $106 a barrel in New York so far this week, to the gusher of oil coming out of America’s heartland, which is holding down prices.

Ironically, the one factor Obama has going for him is the very thing he did his utmost to oppose. Operators often cause failure because what they perceive to be “solutions” actually aggravate matters.  Therefore they zig when they should zag. The controls work in the opposite of what they believe.

Which brings us to the second thing Richard Cook observed about failure: that “complex failed systems can run in degraded mode” for a long time. Gushers appear out of nowhere to partially save us. That means that however bad things seem, the sun will probably rise tomorrow.  There’s a lot of ruin in a country, and sometimes what are perceived as mistakes (like drilling) can turn out to be our salvation. You can always hope for “Zip-a-Dee-Doo-Dah” each day, becomes sometimes it happens.

Francis Fukuyama speculated in 2012 about the Future of History, by which he meant, not Einstein’s inexorable time-line, as much as the fulfillment of ideology. Fukuyama wondered whether we could still say that any of the great 20th century visions shall find fulfillment in the 21st? The probable answer to that is “no”, at least not in their original forms.

But the future of the future is assured notwithstanding. The calendar turns over however hard you work to prevent it. Some vision will find fulfillment in the coming years, though we won’t know which it is or even what it is. Perhaps faith does not consist in hoping you’ll get what you want, but in hoping you’ll want what you get.


Recent items of interest by Belmont readers based on Amazon click-throughs.

Chemical Magic (Dover Books on Chemistry)
Luther: Man Between God and the Devil
Quantum: Einstein, Bohr, and the Great Debate about the Nature of Reality
Illustrated Guide to Home Chemistry Experiments: All Lab, No Lecture (DIY Science)
Shattered Sword: The Untold Story of the Battle of Midway
The Day the Bubble Burst
Is Islam a Religion of Peace? The Areopagus Journal of the Apologetics Resource Center. Volume 10, Number 1.
With the Old Breed: At Peleliu and Okinawa
Economics in One Lesson: The Shortest and Surest Way to Understand Basic Economics
The Anatomy of the State (LvMI)


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Storm Over the South China Sea $0.99, how China is restarting history in the Pacific
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Top Rated Comments   
Since no one's mentioned it, to me the most important development listed by wretchard is that the "U.S. Eliminates Multi-Warheads on All Ground-Based Nuclear Missiles" http://www.nti.org/gsn/article/us-pulls-multiple-warheads-all-nuclear-missiles/

"In its 2010 Nuclear Posture Review, the Obama administration said "deMIRVing" the weapons would "enhance the stability of the nuclear balance by reducing the incentives for either side to strike first."

Just the opposite is true, it increases the incentive for a first strike because the ability to effectively retaliate is being reduced.

We've essentially abandoned machine guns for bolt action rifles.

Stopping MIRVed multi-warhead missiles is an order of magnitude harder than a single warhead attached to its missile. Plus, we're trusting Putin and the ChiComs to honor the agreement, which is criminal stupidity.

Obama is inviting attack. He's making sure that "America's 'chickens' come home to roost"...

George Soros, the left's foremost monetary sponsor has stated, “The main obstacle to a stable and just world order is the United States." Obama means to eliminate the United States as a factor in the world order. His actions can only be objectively viewed as traitorous.
13 weeks ago
13 weeks ago Link To Comment
It’s the damnedest thing. Look at the Iraq policy- from the beginning, they quite deliberately screwed up what had turned out to be success, because they didn’t want it to be a success, as was the subject of an earlier post here. They’d rather break it than admit that somebody else got it right and they got it wrong. I think they’ve made staffing selections for the same reasons. They had no interest in hiring people that knew what they were doing because, well, they knew what they were doing.

I had an old boss who wouldn’t let me implement things that would have been good for the organization because A) he didn’t want me to be successful, and B) he couldn’t figure out how to take credit for it if we did implement. It’s one thing for a minor league boss in a minor league organization to do that. It is quite another for the President of the United States to do it.
13 weeks ago
13 weeks ago Link To Comment
Hope is all you got when you have no real experience. I’ve thought this more and more as foreign affairs have deteriorated more and more- Looking back at past administrations, I would say they have all been staffed by some very capable people. Say what you will about the general direction or man at the top, but there were some solid folks in both Bush administrations, Reagan of course, which spawned many of the Bush appointees. I would even give the Clinton administration a grudging passing grade, when they weren’t trying to keep Bill out of jail.

It is on the edge of my experience, but I even think Jimmy Carter had some sensible, experienced people working for him. Perhaps not enough, but still, some folks who had been through the wars- hot and cold. I don’t think any of them would have been stupid enough to haul a big red Staples button to Moscow to present to Brezhnev.

The Obama administration? The lack of experience and depth has been on full display. When Leon Panetta turns out to be your go-to guy, and even he says that’s enough and skips town, you got problems. It’s the wrong place at the wrong time to have this clown show in charge, but here we are.
13 weeks ago
13 weeks ago Link To Comment
All Comments   (87)
All Comments   (87)
Sort: Newest Oldest Top Rated
Relief Over U.S. Exit From Iraq Fades as Reality Overtakes Hope

WASHINGTON — Standing in Al Faw palace in Baghdad, surrounded by an artificial lake and the ragged remnants of eight years of war, Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. felt a surge of emotion on that day in December 2011.

He had gone to Iraq to note the end of an era, the departure of American troops from a country that had cost his own so much. Ebullient, he praised the troops, congratulated the generals, wished Iraqi leaders good luck and called President Obama to share his excitement.

“All I’ve said about this job, I take it back,” Mr. Biden later recalled telling Mr. Obama. “Thank you for giving me the chance to end this goddamn war.”

“Joe,” he remembered the president responding, “I’m glad you got to do it.”

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/06/23/world/middleeast/relief-over-us-exit-from-iraq-fades-as-reality-overtakes-hope.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&version=HpHeadline&module=first-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
So Hillary admits that she lied to the American people and the world for the sake of partisan politics. I suppose that means she aims to be the president of women and Democrats but not of the American people. Great, another tyrant.

Move over Evita Peron.
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
Based upon the latest book on Hillary, Hillary now claims that she was appalled about the Benghazi video gambit but figured if she resigned over it all the Dems would blame her. She also claimed that she knew Benghazi was a terrorist attack from the gitgo.

Perhaps it's time for a reappraisal.

If Hillary didn't know about the video, and didn't want to use it, that means only Buraq's inner circle probably even knew about the video ( which only had a few hundred youtube hits at the time), which btw was being used that very day by Zawahiri's brother and the MB as a pretext for protests in Egypt to release the blind sheik. The only people that day who were pushing the video were Buraq's people, MB and the AQ. Likely not a coincidence.

That means there was another layer of deception even beyond Operation Zero Footprint, with knowledge limited to the inner circle, which probably linked Buraq Hussein directly to Al Qaeda and the MB - likely through Buraq's brother Malik who was after all in senior leadership in a MB affiliate in Kenya.

Wheels within Wheels.

Does bolster Wretchard theory of the Grand Trade for Osama.

But it also means at least something much more sinister was afoot in the White House which cannot be blamed on incompetence. This was intentional giving aid and comfort to the enemy with even highest ranking Dems and those at State left in the dark.
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
Oh, Lord, please answer my prayer and make Unsk watch this video, which is the source of that which got several youtube experts delving into whence cometh the source of that video:

https://www.google.com/search?sourceid=ie7&rls=com.microsoft:en-US&ie=utf8&oe=utf8&q=youtube+montagraph+proof+positive+in+my+opinion&rlz=1I7GGLL_en&gws_rd=ssl

catch the part where he remarks on the video going from a handful of hits to millions of hits in an impossibly short time --someone was rigging the counter to cover the conspiracy's screw-up in needing for the video to show evidence of activity comensurate with the effect being claimed for it.
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
One thing about that book (Blood Feud or something): amazing, to me anyway, how foul-mouthed Hillary and Valerie Jarrett are--and I'm just getting started.

After the first few pages I thought I was back at Lejeune in 1969.
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
Does Hildabeast mention her rejection when she applied to be a Marine OCS candidate?
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
Really?? I haven't come to it, if so.
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
Another straw in the wind in Europe - Poland's Foreign Minister Radek Sikorski calls his country's ties with the US "worthless":
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-27973473
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
Why again do I care if the land of my self-proclaimed enemy (of my people, my state, and my religion) is in flames?

Obama is the most conservative of intellectuals. He believes in amoral states acting together in their self-interest. The Peace of Westphalia is over. Iran is not a state with a religion; Iran is a religion with state. That state has no self-interest; it is but a tool to be used and sacrificed to further the religion.
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment

In arguments, I prefer constructivism. I offer a moral truth: my enemies deserve all the suffering that befalls them, and I offer a political realism truth: when my self-proclaimed enemies suffer, I benefit.

You offer an imaginary value (while claiming it is a natural value): non-existant caliphates and jihadi states which may or may not be able to behave in a manner you posit.

"It's easy to allow short term interest, to blind one to long term consequence.”

An able summary of “the peace process” and all of Western involvement with the Muslim world. Our long term interest is singular: the utter and complete destruction of Islam.

I do not argue that Obama is acting in America’s interest. I argue that he believes Iran will act in (what he believes) is Iran’s best interest. It will not. Like the Obama regime, founded on Communism, the Iranian regime is founded on Islam. To each the state exists only as tool to further the hateful ideology.

Obama, had he any insight, would recognize (as Clinton did) that Iran is governed by men like himself.
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
There is nothing 'imaginary' about either the desire of jihadists to form a Caliphate or of Islam's theological imperative to do so. That makes it an existential reality.

Jihadists with the power of a State behind them will find it relatively easy to advance toward their objectives just as Iran is doing now.

America is pathetically vulnerable to two major tactical strategies by terrorist groups working for jihadist States; 1) nukes placed in shipping containers aboard commercial ships bound for US ports. New York, New Orleans and Long Beach would do nicely. 2) An EMP attack launched off commercial ships just outside our 12 mile limit on both coasts and in the Gulf of Mexico. We couldn't stop it and an instant revisit to the 18th century. Estimates of 60-300 million dead in the first year. With the added benefit of no way to discover who was responsible, if they don't self-identify.

In either case, a consequential result of the imposition of nationwide martial law, a fortress America mind-set and suspended liberties for an indefinite duration... of the national 'emergency'.

"It's easy to allow short term interest, to blind one to long term consequence.” GB
"An able summary of “the peace process”

No offense but by itself that's a facile but meaningless response because the utter and complete destruction of Islam is neither politically nor militarily possible, nor is it necessary. Quarantine and consequence that focuses upon retaliation against their holy sites is the answer to Islam.

"I argue that he believes Iran will act in (what he believes) is Iran’s best interest. "

Ah, I see, yes he does believe that but what prevents his insight is his sharing the same makeup (totalitarian ideologist) with an unwillingness to look in the mirror.
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
It's easy to allow short term interest, to blind one to long term consequence. It's certainly in our interests for our enemies to fight each other. Allowing that process to continue however will in time result in a natural separation of Shia and Sunni jihadist States, as it encourages the formation of such. The 'Great Satan' is, in their view, the foremost impediment to a world-wide Caliphate. And while they greatly underestimate the ChiCom's and Putin's future opposition to a world-wide Caliphate, that will do us little good after the fact.

I confess that the particulars of Obama's behavior that support the contention that he is acting in an 'amoral' America's self-interest... escape me ;-)
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
SCOTUS takes a baby step toward reigning in the EPA

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2014/06/23/supreme-court-limits-epa-global-warming-rules/?intcmp=latestnews

"Under Monday's ruling, EPA can continue to require permits for greenhouse gas emissions for those facilities that already have to obtain permits because they emit other pollutants that EPA has long regulated. But Justice Antonin Scalia, writing for the court's conservatives in the part of the ruling in which the justices split 5-4, said EPA could not require a permit solely on the basis of greenhouse gas emissions.

The program at issue is the first piece of EPA's attempt to reduce carbon output from large sources of pollution.

The utility industry, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and 13 states led by Texas asked the court to rule that the EPA overstepped its authority by trying to regulate greenhouse gas emissions through the permitting program. The administration failed to get climate change legislation through Congress.

The outcome does preserve EPA's authority over facilities that already emit pollutants that the agency regulates other than greenhouse gases."

If you delete the other above you get to the nub of the issue. The Clean Air Act allows the EPA to regulate POLLUTANTS. Water and carbon dioxide are NOT pollutants. That destroys the majority opinion in Massachusetts v. EPA, which is the legal basis upon which the EPA is trying to regulate carbon dioxide.

12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
Since no one's mentioned it, to me the most important development listed by wretchard is that the "U.S. Eliminates Multi-Warheads on All Ground-Based Nuclear Missiles" http://www.nti.org/gsn/article/us-pulls-multiple-warheads-all-nuclear-missiles/

"In its 2010 Nuclear Posture Review, the Obama administration said "deMIRVing" the weapons would "enhance the stability of the nuclear balance by reducing the incentives for either side to strike first."

Just the opposite is true, it increases the incentive for a first strike because the ability to effectively retaliate is being reduced.

We've essentially abandoned machine guns for bolt action rifles.

Stopping MIRVed multi-warhead missiles is an order of magnitude harder than a single warhead attached to its missile. Plus, we're trusting Putin and the ChiComs to honor the agreement, which is criminal stupidity.

Obama is inviting attack. He's making sure that "America's 'chickens' come home to roost"...

George Soros, the left's foremost monetary sponsor has stated, “The main obstacle to a stable and just world order is the United States." Obama means to eliminate the United States as a factor in the world order. His actions can only be objectively viewed as traitorous.
13 weeks ago
13 weeks ago Link To Comment
Concerning de-MIRVing the Minute Man 3 ICBMs: I would assume that Obama is doing this for the wrong reasons, i.e. to appease his moonbat political base.

However the reality is the Cold War Triad defense strategy is obsolete. Assuming the bad guy is using a maneuvering reentry vehicle coupled to a GPS guidance system, any American silo based ICBM is an easy kill for a first strike. America's ultimate defense against a first strike must be the Ohio class ballistic missile submarines armed with the Trident-2 SLBMs and the Virginia class submarines armed with cruise missiles. If Obama attempted to eliminate the Trident-2 SLBMs then that would constitute an impeachable offense since it would leave us naked against a nuclear first strike by China or Russia.

Truth to tell, the impeachable offenses made by Obama are starting to pile up, e.g. the release of the 5 Taliban monsters from Gitmo. I'm hoping the Republicans promptly vote through a bill of impeachment as soon as they gain control of the Senate.
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
Not to suggest that your points are invalid, as they are not but any first strike would NOT take out American silo based ICBMs that were alert. It's my understanding that even 15 minutes is plenty of time to launch. If Obama would launch is another matter.

I entirely agree that our nuclear subs are our ultimate defense. Unfortunately, I have little doubt that the ChiComs are working on methodology that would enable them to locate our subs. Just because its presumably hard-to-impossible to do it today, doesn't mean it will always be so. Perhaps even more importantly, the ChiComs are preparing for the militarization of high earth orbit and, he who holds the high ground, calls the tune...

IMO, your and my hope for an impeachment trial is a political non-starter. Not going to happen. Not even with a majority GOP Senate.
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
This thread has almost expired. This will be my last comment.

The maximum time from launch to impact for an ICBM is about 45 minutes. It's about 20 minutes if the Russians are launching over the Arctic at the US. The old days of NORAD watching the Soviets like hawks along with a hair fine launch-on-warning trigger have come and gone. We'll know that New York was under attack after we see the mushroom cloud rising. The same holds true for the Minuteman-III silos in North Dakota. It's a given that Obama would dither if informed that New York was blown away. The Russians/Chinese could empty out all of their strategic weapons assets before Obama felt inclined to respond. My guess is that someone high up in the Pentagon would have to override Obama and issue the launch order to the Ohio class subs. I should add that from a Gramsci agitprop perspective, this is all going according to plan. We're supposed to be frozen like stunned mullets as our enemy takes us apart. If the Soviet Union were still in business, we would have already been reduced to radioactive ruins. Fortunately, the Soviets imploded 24 years ago. Too bad the moonbats combined with the Islamic fascists are almost as bad as the Soviets.
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
It is very scary. I get that most on the left are TWANLOC and are blind and stupid, but what about the black community? Can 95% of them be that blind to not see what this guy is about, the damage to all Americans he is inflicting, that they will riot in the streets at any mention of impeachment...

12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
The black community's loyalty is NOT to Barack Obama. Their loyalty is to the meme that they are racial victims. Abandoning support for Obama means also abandoning that meme. It means taking personal responsibility and accepting accountability. Blaming the white majority is much easier than accepting that the refusal to embrace critical cultural values puts them at the bottom of the socioeconomic totem pole.

Those values are: 1) education, 2) developing a strong work ethic, 3) acceptance of personal responsibility and accountability, 4) acceptance of familial obligations and loyalty, and 5) the virtue of delayed gratification. Individual exceptions aside, that is all it takes to be successful in America. That is all it has ever taken.

Multiculturalism is also at fault here because it falsely posits that all cultures are of equal value. That is NOT true. All people of good will are inherently of equal value. Cultures are a mix of virtues and vices embraced, ignored, neglected and rejected.

Minority socioeconomic success in America exactly tracks the minority culture’s embrace, neglect or rejection of these five virtues. Asian, Hispanic, Native American and Black ‘cultures’ closely match it.

Urban blacks reject ALL five of the critical virtues and that is the ONLY reason why they reside at the bottom of the socioeconomic ‘totem pole’. No amount of welfare, entitlements or minimum wage hikes will change that reality. Urban ‘culture’ needs to take a hard look at itself.

It's the culture, 'stupid'.
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
1) acceptance of familial obligations and loyalty...

All else follows.
LBJ's Great Society/War on Poverty and Pop Culture have devasted families, none more so than Black Families.
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
Sorry but no. Not that familial obligations and loyalty isn't critical because it is and it is an indispensable cultural value/virtue. No because Hispanic are extremely familial oriented but they are culturally neglectful of education (#1) and reject personal responsibility and accountability. A common expression in Mexico for instance is; "my hand made me do it!" I've seen little evidence of cultural support for delayed gratification among Hispanics either. Thus their limited socioeconomic success.

Asians embrace all 5 virtues. West Indian immigrant blacks do as well and their ancestors were also slaves and they achieve economic parity with whites.

Entirely agree, "LBJ's Great Society/War on Poverty and Pop Culture have devasted families, none more so than Black Families." AND we have as a nation spent 3 times(!) as much on entitlement/social assistance programs since 1964 than ALL the wars combined, that the US has ever fought...
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
Spot on, Doug. The largest portion of the "urban" peoples function in the, God, Family, Tribe culture. And they wholly endorse the Big Man principle.
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
Several days ago, I posited the idea that Jordan would have to enter a mutual defense agreement with Israel or become a bloody battlefield. This morning's news reports that Iraq has withdrawn its border control from Jordan.

What ruminations are passing through the mind of Abdullah II as he picks at his lunch?
13 weeks ago
13 weeks ago Link To Comment
I concur with the need for the joint defense pact, preferably signed before midnight today local time.

Jordan is currently "home" to huge numbers of Syrian refugees right now, many of them Christian. I am certain that the ISIS folks are aware of that fact. It'll be shooting (or beheading) fish in a barrel...

My hope at this point is that the target rich environment that ISIS finds itself in will spread it too thin, and their battalions can begin to be picked off, aerially if not on the ground. Very, very sadly, this will not happen before many more "infidels" die. And it was avoidable.
12 weeks ago
12 weeks ago Link To Comment
Human beings have, from the earliest records, attempted to exert control over life's inconvenient realities that make us mortal. Sometimes in this quest, they pick stupid targets. Today is its "Global Warming" or "Climate Change", in another era it was witches.
13 weeks ago
13 weeks ago Link To Comment
Subotai: "I am reminded of the mythical "Kee Bird""

My advice to Democrats seeking cover from the torrential rain of Obamaexcrement is to recall the story of the mythical "Foo Bird."
13 weeks ago
13 weeks ago Link To Comment
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