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	<title>Comments on: Counterfactuals</title>
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	<description>Just another Pajamasmedia.com weblog</description>
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		<title>By: 907ie</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/richardfernandez/2009/06/11/counterfactuals/#comment-57127</link>
		<dc:creator>907ie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2009 00:35:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/richardfernandez/?p=4435#comment-57127</guid>
		<description>29 years in the pharmaceutical field and all I can say is there are so many inflated costs it&#039;s a joke.
You can&#039;t just replace OTC $3 therapies with chemically identical Rx $150 therapies and not have it hurt the entire health care system.
There are so many examples of just this kind of rip-off that its unbelievable.
So much of health care is a scam, much of it is just putting drugs on the street, folks maintaining their &quot;disability&quot;, &quot;victimology&quot;, and on and on.  One thing, national health care may get rid of some of this abuse, heaven knows something has got to happen.  

Anyway, get ready for rationing, it&#039;s coming fast fast fast.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>29 years in the pharmaceutical field and all I can say is there are so many inflated costs it&#8217;s a joke.<br />
You can&#8217;t just replace OTC $3 therapies with chemically identical Rx $150 therapies and not have it hurt the entire health care system.<br />
There are so many examples of just this kind of rip-off that its unbelievable.<br />
So much of health care is a scam, much of it is just putting drugs on the street, folks maintaining their &#8220;disability&#8221;, &#8220;victimology&#8221;, and on and on.  One thing, national health care may get rid of some of this abuse, heaven knows something has got to happen.  </p>
<p>Anyway, get ready for rationing, it&#8217;s coming fast fast fast.</p>
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		<title>By: gokart-mozart</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/richardfernandez/2009/06/11/counterfactuals/#comment-56819</link>
		<dc:creator>gokart-mozart</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2009 20:31:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/richardfernandez/?p=4435#comment-56819</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;What this machine does is screen out those not in need of serious medical attention.&lt;/i&gt;According to whom? And by what standard of evidence?

Doctors should do what they do and leave the rest of this crap alone.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>What this machine does is screen out those not in need of serious medical attention.</i>According to whom? And by what standard of evidence?</p>
<p>Doctors should do what they do and leave the rest of this crap alone.</p>
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		<title>By: Unsk</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/richardfernandez/2009/06/11/counterfactuals/#comment-56818</link>
		<dc:creator>Unsk</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2009 19:50:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/richardfernandez/?p=4435#comment-56818</guid>
		<description>Gokart- because the results are still a medical diagnosis. In any case of a serious nature , a doctor is the appropriate person to consult and plan the treatment.  What this machine does is screen out those not in need of serious medical attention. It&#039;s just a tool to be used.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Gokart- because the results are still a medical diagnosis. In any case of a serious nature , a doctor is the appropriate person to consult and plan the treatment.  What this machine does is screen out those not in need of serious medical attention. It&#8217;s just a tool to be used.</p>
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		<title>By: Mad Fiddler</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/richardfernandez/2009/06/11/counterfactuals/#comment-56807</link>
		<dc:creator>Mad Fiddler</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2009 15:47:25 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Dear GoKart-Mozart,

Thanks for your comments, and your years of study and service. You provide much food for thought.

Only in one area do I question your judgment: you seem far too forgiving of the contribution of litigation attorneys to the current mess.

Ah, well, now I come to think of it, the problem can properly be laid at the feet of a two generations of judges and juries who have been raised with several corrosive ideas:

1) If anything bad happens, it &lt;i&gt;has&lt;/i&gt; to be someone&#039;s fault.

2) There&#039;s pots of money in the hands of manufacturers, doctors, hospitals, and it&#039;s there only because they swindled it from poor deserving victims, so we need to balance the scales and re-distribute the wealth by awarding damages to people who have suffered, even if their suffering wasn&#039;t precisely caused by the people we&#039;re taking the money from.

My highly attentive brother notes that within the last couple of decades the U.S. courts made a significant change in the area of expert scientific evidence, giving the presiding judge control over what evidence would be allowed to support claims. 

Anyone have some special knowledge of that?

Thanks to all for a fascinatin&#039; discussion.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dear GoKart-Mozart,</p>
<p>Thanks for your comments, and your years of study and service. You provide much food for thought.</p>
<p>Only in one area do I question your judgment: you seem far too forgiving of the contribution of litigation attorneys to the current mess.</p>
<p>Ah, well, now I come to think of it, the problem can properly be laid at the feet of a two generations of judges and juries who have been raised with several corrosive ideas:</p>
<p>1) If anything bad happens, it <i>has</i> to be someone&#8217;s fault.</p>
<p>2) There&#8217;s pots of money in the hands of manufacturers, doctors, hospitals, and it&#8217;s there only because they swindled it from poor deserving victims, so we need to balance the scales and re-distribute the wealth by awarding damages to people who have suffered, even if their suffering wasn&#8217;t precisely caused by the people we&#8217;re taking the money from.</p>
<p>My highly attentive brother notes that within the last couple of decades the U.S. courts made a significant change in the area of expert scientific evidence, giving the presiding judge control over what evidence would be allowed to support claims. </p>
<p>Anyone have some special knowledge of that?</p>
<p>Thanks to all for a fascinatin&#8217; discussion.</p>
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		<title>By: Doc</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/richardfernandez/2009/06/11/counterfactuals/#comment-56805</link>
		<dc:creator>Doc</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2009 15:06:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/richardfernandez/?p=4435#comment-56805</guid>
		<description>#67 Leo Linbeck:
As a physician (a generalist), I disagree that midlevel providers can provide the same level of care as a physician, even for just &quot;physicals&quot; and routine care.  Though midlevels have their place and serve a useful purpose, I can tell you that the difference in information I receive from an MD or a PA when I accept a patient from them is significant...the level of understanding of the disease process and what is going on IS significant...supervision is often necessary.
Not to say that midlevel providers are unhelpful or unnecessary...I think they will be necessary, in increased numbers, in the future.  In any case.  Just don&#039;t think you will necessarily be getting the same level of care if you have a significant illness, or a not easily recognized or diagnosed condition.
As a side note, I can confirm the commentator&#039;s impression above that most doctors (primary care especially) are working flat out.  I think we do need more doctors.  I don&#039;t think the current status quo is encouraging more people to go into medicine, nor is the (personally frightening) debate about healthcare reform going to.
By the way, responding to another commentator, there are plenty of good students who would make good doctors who aren&#039;t going into medicine b/c of the bottleneck (admission to medical school), decreasing compensation, increasing workload, risk of litigation, etc.  The problem is not a lack of good candidates.  Increasing the number of medical students by 10 or 15%, to start with at least, would result in little drop of quality of physicians.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>#67 Leo Linbeck:<br />
As a physician (a generalist), I disagree that midlevel providers can provide the same level of care as a physician, even for just &#8220;physicals&#8221; and routine care.  Though midlevels have their place and serve a useful purpose, I can tell you that the difference in information I receive from an MD or a PA when I accept a patient from them is significant&#8230;the level of understanding of the disease process and what is going on IS significant&#8230;supervision is often necessary.<br />
Not to say that midlevel providers are unhelpful or unnecessary&#8230;I think they will be necessary, in increased numbers, in the future.  In any case.  Just don&#8217;t think you will necessarily be getting the same level of care if you have a significant illness, or a not easily recognized or diagnosed condition.<br />
As a side note, I can confirm the commentator&#8217;s impression above that most doctors (primary care especially) are working flat out.  I think we do need more doctors.  I don&#8217;t think the current status quo is encouraging more people to go into medicine, nor is the (personally frightening) debate about healthcare reform going to.<br />
By the way, responding to another commentator, there are plenty of good students who would make good doctors who aren&#8217;t going into medicine b/c of the bottleneck (admission to medical school), decreasing compensation, increasing workload, risk of litigation, etc.  The problem is not a lack of good candidates.  Increasing the number of medical students by 10 or 15%, to start with at least, would result in little drop of quality of physicians.</p>
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		<title>By: gokart-mozart</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/richardfernandez/2009/06/11/counterfactuals/#comment-56802</link>
		<dc:creator>gokart-mozart</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2009 14:32:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/richardfernandez/?p=4435#comment-56802</guid>
		<description>Unsk 82 &quot;although a supervising MD would/ should review results and treatments&quot;

Why? Why on Earth should a licensed MD &quot;review results&quot; of something he has no training for or knowledge about? So there&#039;s somebody to sue?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Unsk 82 &#8220;although a supervising MD would/ should review results and treatments&#8221;</p>
<p>Why? Why on Earth should a licensed MD &#8220;review results&#8221; of something he has no training for or knowledge about? So there&#8217;s somebody to sue?</p>
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		<title>By: Unsk</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/richardfernandez/2009/06/11/counterfactuals/#comment-56796</link>
		<dc:creator>Unsk</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2009 13:25:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/richardfernandez/?p=4435#comment-56796</guid>
		<description>In alternative medicine circles, there is a machine called a 
SCIO. It was developed by a guy at NASA, and he now makes them in Eastern Europe. 

What it does is that it scans the body with radio waves to identify disease, bacteria, level of hormones, bodily fluids. Every living organism and element has a radio wave signature so this computer/machine has been programed with over 16,000 disease signatures to be able to identify every known disease, bacteria, virus etc, and the level of infections.   It has been approved by the FDA for diagnostic purposes.  It is better than other tests for viral diseases which cannot tbe identified with a drug test. St. Johns hospital in Santa Monica has several. They are not that expensive.

Where the FDA and the Drug companies have heartburn, is that it not only can diagnose, it can treat. The scanning process can be reversed; where a disease has been identified by its radio wave signature, the SCIO machine  is designed to focus small amounts of radio waves at the appropriate signature to attack the disease. These treatments are not overwhelming; the dosages are small.  Raging  diseases are not knocked out in one treatment. But this machine is particularly effective against those diseases than cannot be treated by traditional medicine, particularly those of the auto-immune kind. 

Now the point of this post, to affirm the track of recent comments, is that this machine does not need  a doctor to operate it, although a supervising MD would/ should review results and treatments.  It could easily by operated by a nurse.   People not licensed as an MD  in the alternative medicine underground are using it now.

If used properly medical advances like this machine should be able to cut medical costs.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In alternative medicine circles, there is a machine called a<br />
SCIO. It was developed by a guy at NASA, and he now makes them in Eastern Europe. </p>
<p>What it does is that it scans the body with radio waves to identify disease, bacteria, level of hormones, bodily fluids. Every living organism and element has a radio wave signature so this computer/machine has been programed with over 16,000 disease signatures to be able to identify every known disease, bacteria, virus etc, and the level of infections.   It has been approved by the FDA for diagnostic purposes.  It is better than other tests for viral diseases which cannot tbe identified with a drug test. St. Johns hospital in Santa Monica has several. They are not that expensive.</p>
<p>Where the FDA and the Drug companies have heartburn, is that it not only can diagnose, it can treat. The scanning process can be reversed; where a disease has been identified by its radio wave signature, the SCIO machine  is designed to focus small amounts of radio waves at the appropriate signature to attack the disease. These treatments are not overwhelming; the dosages are small.  Raging  diseases are not knocked out in one treatment. But this machine is particularly effective against those diseases than cannot be treated by traditional medicine, particularly those of the auto-immune kind. </p>
<p>Now the point of this post, to affirm the track of recent comments, is that this machine does not need  a doctor to operate it, although a supervising MD would/ should review results and treatments.  It could easily by operated by a nurse.   People not licensed as an MD  in the alternative medicine underground are using it now.</p>
<p>If used properly medical advances like this machine should be able to cut medical costs.</p>
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		<title>By: gokart-mozart</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/richardfernandez/2009/06/11/counterfactuals/#comment-56790</link>
		<dc:creator>gokart-mozart</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2009 11:35:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/richardfernandez/?p=4435#comment-56790</guid>
		<description>79 and 80:

There are lots of good arguments for, and lots of excellent imaginary redesigns, involving other-than-physician providers. The problem is liability - and it&#039;s not &lt;i&gt;principally&lt;/i&gt; a lawyer problem, although they help make it worse.

People expect the best from their doctor, and they are angry when they don&#039;t get it. The imaginary &quot;standard of care&quot; involves the &quot;average&quot; physician, not the best - but half of the physicians are below average (by definition). Take an informal poll of most of your non-plaintiff friends and neighbors (potential future jury members) and ask them what should happen to a doctor who makes a mistake that leads to a death. Their responses will reveal a belief to you that a) Doctors &lt;i&gt;should&lt;/i&gt; be inerrant, b) medical errors are fully equivalent to crimes, and c) such &quot;criminals&quot; should not work, ever again.

Now, a moment of reflection will reveal that this creates an impossible situation. Everyone makes mistakes. In thirty-forty years, over tens of thousands of patients, this will actually be rather common. Most are trivial, some are not. Most really serious nonculpable errors involve misdiagnosis. Diagnosis is a subtle and complex skill which is not appreciated by most students nor by most of their teachers. It grows and grows throughout a career, and is almost impossible to objectively test for or measure.

Right now, physicians supervise mid-levels and are completely accountable for their work. Flooding the zone with midlevels is possible, but with no supervision their lack of training and especially their lack of experience with diagnosis will become a problem. Now, this is a problem we could easily afford, &lt;i&gt;were it not for the view of your friends and neighbors that the process should guarantee inerrancy&lt;/i&gt;.

The lawyers don&#039;t generate this demand. They just service the market. Until that changes, the supply problem cannot be fixed.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>79 and 80:</p>
<p>There are lots of good arguments for, and lots of excellent imaginary redesigns, involving other-than-physician providers. The problem is liability &#8211; and it&#8217;s not <i>principally</i> a lawyer problem, although they help make it worse.</p>
<p>People expect the best from their doctor, and they are angry when they don&#8217;t get it. The imaginary &#8220;standard of care&#8221; involves the &#8220;average&#8221; physician, not the best &#8211; but half of the physicians are below average (by definition). Take an informal poll of most of your non-plaintiff friends and neighbors (potential future jury members) and ask them what should happen to a doctor who makes a mistake that leads to a death. Their responses will reveal a belief to you that a) Doctors <i>should</i> be inerrant, b) medical errors are fully equivalent to crimes, and c) such &#8220;criminals&#8221; should not work, ever again.</p>
<p>Now, a moment of reflection will reveal that this creates an impossible situation. Everyone makes mistakes. In thirty-forty years, over tens of thousands of patients, this will actually be rather common. Most are trivial, some are not. Most really serious nonculpable errors involve misdiagnosis. Diagnosis is a subtle and complex skill which is not appreciated by most students nor by most of their teachers. It grows and grows throughout a career, and is almost impossible to objectively test for or measure.</p>
<p>Right now, physicians supervise mid-levels and are completely accountable for their work. Flooding the zone with midlevels is possible, but with no supervision their lack of training and especially their lack of experience with diagnosis will become a problem. Now, this is a problem we could easily afford, <i>were it not for the view of your friends and neighbors that the process should guarantee inerrancy</i>.</p>
<p>The lawyers don&#8217;t generate this demand. They just service the market. Until that changes, the supply problem cannot be fixed.</p>
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		<title>By: Mad Fiddler</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/richardfernandez/2009/06/11/counterfactuals/#comment-56775</link>
		<dc:creator>Mad Fiddler</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2009 06:37:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/richardfernandez/?p=4435#comment-56775</guid>
		<description>I know, I know... we already have that in the so-called &quot;Doc-in-the-box&quot; clinics, except that they have fully accredited Medical Doctors on staff. (Hey, I found my favorite physician at one of those, a board-certified emergency physician!)

Comments from Gokart-Mozart and others with specialized knowledge would be much appreciated.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I know, I know&#8230; we already have that in the so-called &#8220;Doc-in-the-box&#8221; clinics, except that they have fully accredited Medical Doctors on staff. (Hey, I found my favorite physician at one of those, a board-certified emergency physician!)</p>
<p>Comments from Gokart-Mozart and others with specialized knowledge would be much appreciated.</p>
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		<title>By: Mad Fiddler</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/richardfernandez/2009/06/11/counterfactuals/#comment-56773</link>
		<dc:creator>Mad Fiddler</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2009 06:30:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/richardfernandez/?p=4435#comment-56773</guid>
		<description>We may be headed for a time when the gap will have to be filled by volunteers trained to a level somewhere between EMT and Paramedic. That means skills ranging from first responder to advanced life support. 

It would require a TON of changes in our system. The present EMS system (&quot;Emergency Medical Services&quot;) is contingent on a well-established and functioning hospital network with designated specialized trauma facilities and teams. The basis of the EMS system is that it&#039;s meant to provide basic life support and transport to a state-of-the-art hospital trauma facility. 

Maybe what we need is a low-tech primary-care system that can provide treatment for injuries that are not life-threatening, dispense or prescribe specified medications, and do &quot;triage&quot; to identify patients that might need more advanced diagnostic or therapeutic services. I know that&#039;s easy to say, but right now hospitals are swamped by patients with hang-nails, headaches, and hematomas.

&quot;Neighborhood clinics?&quot;

On submarines and destroyers in World War II, corpsmen performed a lot of life-saving medical procedures &quot;above their pay grade&quot; - or so a lot of sailors will testify. 

The lawsuit-obsessed culture that has festered into being in this country has made a shambles of &quot;good samaritan&quot; inclinations. If there&#039;s a horrific vehicle crash - multiple casualties, bodies lying about obviously injured - laws in some regions require EMTs to stop and render aid even if they are NOT on duty, but do not protect them from lawsuits from the people they are assisting. In Virginia Beach, VA, a drunk driver in a Mercedes smashed into a VOLUNTEER RESCUE SQUAD AMBULANCE with its lights and siren going. Because the ambulance had just started moving through an intersection &lt;i&gt;against the traffic light&lt;/i&gt;, the AMBULANCE DRIVER was arrested, tried, and sentenced to prison, despite the high blood alcohol level of the other driver. 

It&#039;s an incredibly complex situation all around - medicine and all the &quot;healing arts&quot; can take decades of study, and there are some people who simply should never be allowed to touch a patient or make medical decisions for another living creature.

But I &#039;spect circumstances are steering us inevitably toward having to provide stopgap informal medical care, whether it&#039;s by boy scouts with special merit badges, former ranger/seal medics, nurse/practitioners, or shamans waving smoking leaves.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We may be headed for a time when the gap will have to be filled by volunteers trained to a level somewhere between EMT and Paramedic. That means skills ranging from first responder to advanced life support. </p>
<p>It would require a TON of changes in our system. The present EMS system (&#8220;Emergency Medical Services&#8221;) is contingent on a well-established and functioning hospital network with designated specialized trauma facilities and teams. The basis of the EMS system is that it&#8217;s meant to provide basic life support and transport to a state-of-the-art hospital trauma facility. </p>
<p>Maybe what we need is a low-tech primary-care system that can provide treatment for injuries that are not life-threatening, dispense or prescribe specified medications, and do &#8220;triage&#8221; to identify patients that might need more advanced diagnostic or therapeutic services. I know that&#8217;s easy to say, but right now hospitals are swamped by patients with hang-nails, headaches, and hematomas.</p>
<p>&#8220;Neighborhood clinics?&#8221;</p>
<p>On submarines and destroyers in World War II, corpsmen performed a lot of life-saving medical procedures &#8220;above their pay grade&#8221; &#8211; or so a lot of sailors will testify. </p>
<p>The lawsuit-obsessed culture that has festered into being in this country has made a shambles of &#8220;good samaritan&#8221; inclinations. If there&#8217;s a horrific vehicle crash &#8211; multiple casualties, bodies lying about obviously injured &#8211; laws in some regions require EMTs to stop and render aid even if they are NOT on duty, but do not protect them from lawsuits from the people they are assisting. In Virginia Beach, VA, a drunk driver in a Mercedes smashed into a VOLUNTEER RESCUE SQUAD AMBULANCE with its lights and siren going. Because the ambulance had just started moving through an intersection <i>against the traffic light</i>, the AMBULANCE DRIVER was arrested, tried, and sentenced to prison, despite the high blood alcohol level of the other driver. </p>
<p>It&#8217;s an incredibly complex situation all around &#8211; medicine and all the &#8220;healing arts&#8221; can take decades of study, and there are some people who simply should never be allowed to touch a patient or make medical decisions for another living creature.</p>
<p>But I &#8216;spect circumstances are steering us inevitably toward having to provide stopgap informal medical care, whether it&#8217;s by boy scouts with special merit badges, former ranger/seal medics, nurse/practitioners, or shamans waving smoking leaves.</p>
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