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The Big Deal on The Road to War

November 24th, 2013 - 3:35 pm

–Fourth, a deep division within the American political class, with unforeseeable consequences.

Most gravely, lots of countries in the region will now conclude that the West, and most assuredly the United States, has thrown in with Iran.  They will look at the actions of President Obama and his henchthings, and they will see a pattern:  he bailed out of Iraq without even a fig leaf to cover that country’s exposure to Iranian violence, thus forcing Iraqi leaders to cater to Tehran’s wishes;  he announced America’s retreat from Afghanistan well in advance of next year’s scheduled withdrawal, thereby exposing Afghan leaders to the same exposure to Iran;  he rallied to the side of the Iranian supreme leader in 2009, when the regime was wobbling and millions of Iranians filled the country’s avenues;  he abandoned Mubarak and supported the Muslim Brotherhood–favored by Iran–in Egypt;  and he repeatedly worked with Iran and Russia to save Assad in Syria (never supported the opposition, did an about-face on his threat to attack when Assad’s use of chemical weapons was too big to ignore).

This agreement seals the Syrian deal with Iran.  It is not just about sanctions and nukes.  Michael Doran of Brookings has figured it out, after suddenly discovering something he should have known for a long time:  that we were conducting secret talks with the regime.

I have long suspected that Obama’s retreat from Syria was prompted, in part, by his desire to generate Iranian goodwill in the nuclear negotiations. The evidence for that case is growing by the day. We now learn, for example, that the administration had opened a bilateral backchannel to Tehran well before the Syria crisis. I can only assume that the president backed away from the use of force against Assad because, in part, he saw the Syria challenge as a subset of the Iranian negotiation.

Readers of this blog knew all that quite a while ago.  It now has become even more significant, for Syria is the top priority for Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.  He has repeatedly told his top associates in Tehran that Assad’s survival is more important than Khamenei’s own, reminding them that the loss of Syria would threaten the survival of Hezbollah, and the durability of the Iranian campaign in Iraq (where the killing continues at a rate greater than that in Syria).  Khamenei and Assad are both strengthened by the Geneva Agreement.

Some evince surprise at Obama’s behavior–why is he helping our greatest enemy? they ask–but there is no excuse for surprise at this point.  His all-out pursuit of a deal with Iran was already evident during the presidential campaign of 2008, and he has never deviated from it.  His hostility to Israel was also evident very early in his first term (I wrote about it after he’d been in office for less than a year).  His support for the Muslim Brotherhood (like his embrace of Turkey’s nutty leader Erdogan) completes the picture:  he favors radical Islamists and other evil tyrants, and opposes more moderate, pro-Western autocrats and, above all, the lone Western-style democracy in the region.

Those looking for parallels in his domestic behavior, above all his contempt for the rule of law and most any other rule that threatens to thwart his will, can survey a target-rich environment.

What next?  I think we can assume that this “interim agreement” isn’t very temporary, that Iran will behave even more aggressively than before, and that the West will scramble to make as much profit as they can.  The fascinating Arab-Israeli alliance will also develop, and the combination of Israeli military power and Arab wealth may prove potent, well beyond anything we can presently conceive.

Finally, the global war against America will intensify.  The Iranians believe they’ve got us right where they want us, and that Obama will accept their terms.  They think they’ve achieved this by killing Americans and friends of ours, and so they will keep it up.  They’re not like us.  If the roles had been reversed in Geneva, and they could brandish tough sanctions–and the plausible threat of even more–if we didn’t accept their basic demands (NO enrichment, period), they wouldn’t have made the deal Kerry and Obama concocted.  They’d have said what we should have:  “Here!  have some more sanctions.  Then we can talk some more.”

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Top Rated Comments   
There is one reason, and only one reason Schummer is upset, he is AFRAID of losing votes from democrat Jews in New York! So don't give us any baloney about how much he cares about Israel. If he cared he would never have supported Obama!
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
THE GENEVA AGREEMENT IS JUST LIKE OBAMACARE
It was done in secret, then sprung on us quickly -- as a done deal -- without time for deliberations or to fully understand the implications.
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
Kerry and Obama have bathed in the waters of treason and traitorism the whole of their lives.

Who, from their inner circle...would root for America and Israel and who would leap with glee at their demise?


Ayers? Wright? Frank Marshall Davis? Rashid Khalidi and Ali Abunimah? George Soros? Robert Malley and his parents? The Turkish flotilla proponents? The Midwest Academy? The New Party? Don Warden? The Nation of Islam? Louis Farrakhan?

The art of doing harm to America and Israel, while pretending to be merely "liberal and incompetent" is quite a feat.

Obama and Kerry have been traitors to this country for decades. They hung around with traitors and consorted with them.

Will Valerie Jarrett be displeased with this maneuver?


Let's get real,finally. The die has been cast long ago. What has been molded was set in motion by those whose intent should be crystal clear. Kerry and Obama are on a team...but it isn't the one paying their salaries.
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
All Comments   (40)
All Comments   (40)
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Excellent column. Your third point is stunning: “another devastating confirmation to the regime’s internal opposition that the West is not prepared to seriously challenge the regime”. Can you ponder what the President would say if soon the leader of the Iranian opposition managed to sneak over to Washington, D.C. to secretly meet with him?
40 weeks ago
40 weeks ago Link To Comment
As Prof. Fouad Ajami said in an interview with CNN that "Washington is now dealing with Iran, Russia and Syria where irritate its close allies in the region, particularly Saudi Arabia and Israel." Yes that's right, Mr. Obama today is dealing with America's enemies while neglecting America's strategic allies in the region...
45 weeks ago
45 weeks ago Link To Comment
We must find a legal and moral way to restrict the franchise to responsible persons, get rid of the obamanites and preclude their resurrection.We must undo all the crazy, chaotic political feces, not only that of obama, but all the way back to 1913 and the Fed. We must learn to live by New Testament principles or perish. Take your pick.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
As usual, cfbleachers has it right. Emaa, please test the validity of the law of gravity from a tall building. Hazel, please help her. Rileybeatrice, you too.
Debra, Linda, Maya, drop dead! People read your irrelevant nonsense and come to believe that all females are dipsticks like y'all are. You are unfair to real ladies, who make sense and act like grownups should.For Shame!
And, Obama is a traitor and a demoniac. He loves chaos and evil and will really like it in Hell- except for the unbearable eternal agonies, that is. Ah, well!
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
til I looked at the receipt which had said $8851, I accept that...my... friend was like they say realy earning money in there spare time from their laptop.. there uncle has been doing this 4 only a year and recently repaid the morgage on there mini mansion and got themselves a Ford. why not try here WWW.jobs59.com
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
http://ca.news.yahoo.com/blogs/pulseofcanada/iran-trusted-160504399.html
is on the record.

What do other countries have to say about it? For, when you have the Saudis being rebuffed by others, in its backyard, over this deal, pessimism from too much politics exacts a brutally high price.
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
It has been my position on this page and others for over a decade:

The USA is committed to maintain the Iranian dictators, that parade as religious, in power at all cost... it seems you have finally come around

Obama/Bush are easy to understand: "nice long lasting war and sell lots of weapons"...Iran is "bad boy" trouble maker, oil sales bring in petro-dollars to pay for weapons...KGB: (their successors/assigns) "manipulate ethnic masses

parallels in his domestic behavior: A 2 day stay in a hospital: $23, 000/Doctor
$5,500; that is your cash price no insurance price...The only trouble is that the Hospital accepts a total of $3,000 from insurance as full payment for the hospital stay and the doctor accepts 1,300 from insurance as full payment.

Al Capone's diplomatic "offspring" staged a coup in 1963 and are firmly in control...only now they are the law...
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
This immature puke in the Oval Office is a merely the talking head of a large and destructive anti - American operation currently controlling the levers of power. They will use any and all tricks available to them to retain this power in the face of declining support for their Potemkin Village regime. Unfortunately, this will include permitting a rogue Islamic Nazi - like dictatorship to acquire nuclear weaponry that will be used against Americans.
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
President Obama's deal with Iran's present regime does more than merely reward bad behavior. It sets an international precedent that legitimizes the principle that it is perfectly acceptable to torture diplomats.

Or at least American diplomats. Perhaps this is President Obama's intent. There is an ideological link between the massacre of American diplomats in Benghazi and President Obama's deal with Mr. Khamanei – it is to promote an open hunting season upon American diplomats. Although most countries are civilized enough to refrain from sacking embassies, even American ones, President Obama's actions promote an alternative behavioral norm that regards the torture and humiliation of diplomats as a celebrated blood sport.
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
They can hunt all US politicians and good hunting wishes to the Iranian's.
No bag limits and Doe's can be taken also.
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
Given that the occupied US Embassy in Tehran is still technically American territory, it would be well within the rights of the United States to bomb the US Embassy in Tehran.
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
You Iranian's gonna pull them atomic pistols or just whistle Dixie?
It's not a game of brag and boast, if these clowns use a nuke then the use of nukes against them will be easy to approve.
Currently it takes about 300 warheads @ 450 Kt to knock out the US as a working nation.
It only takes 10 @ 450 Kt to make Iran a man caused disaster zone.
Go ahead Spunky, draw that l'il popgun, I dare ya!
47 weeks ago
47 weeks ago Link To Comment
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