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Why Aren’t There Millions of Iranians in the Streets?

August 12th, 2011 - 9:22 am

There is also an ongoing series of “accidents” involving trains and aircraft carrying Revolutionary Guards troops within the country.

Finally, there is the matter of the ongoing civil war in Syria, which so intimately involves the Iranian regime that serious analysts and policymakers should look at it as part of the Iranian crisis itself. Certainly the regime does; thousands of Revolutionary Guards and Hezbollah killers and commanders have virtually taken charge of the Assad regime’s slaughter of Syrian protesters, and the nonviolent methods used by the protesters mirror those adopted by the Green Movement in the year and a half after the 2009 electoral fraud.

This is very likely an existential crisis for the Khamenei regime, as its frantic response amply demonstrates.  The war against the Syrian people is part and parcel of the campaign to crush the Iranians, whether Green, Kurdish or otherwise, and the regime in Tehran knows that if the Assads fall, Iranian power will be dealt a devastating blow.  Where will Hezbollah be based?  How great will be the cost to the joint Iranian-Syrian nuclear program?  How much damage will be done to the very dangerous but rarely discussed global network that runs from Tehran to Caracas via Damascus (a network that includes Moscow and Havana, by the way)?

The Iranian opposition and its allies and collaborators inside the regime are well aware of the gravity of the crisis, and are increasing the pressure on the regime.  For his part, Khamenei has locked the Green Movement leaders, Mousavi and Karroubi, behind walls, and their followers are daily rounded up and sent to the torture chambers in Evin Prison and other hellholes around the country.  It won’t work.  Ask the South African apartheid oppressors, or the gang in Burma…

Meanwhile, back in Washington, after weeks of whispering to gullible journalists that the Obama administration was going to declare its straightforward opposition to the Assad regime (and thus to its Tehran protectors), we have only the usual waffling, dithering, parsing and pretending.  My favorite, if that’s the right word to describe the latest version of appeasement, is from Hillary.  ” US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, when asked why the United States has not yet called for Syria’s president to step down, said Washington wants other nations to add their voices, according to an interview by the CBS Evening News with Scott Pelley released on Thursday.”

It’s going into history as the Obama Doctrine:  Leading with the Behind.

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