WELL, THEY PICKED UP THE GOVERNORSHIP: Could Maryland senate race be a Republican pickup?

Conventional wisdom would say Republicans in Maryland have no chance to win a Senate seat. But conventional wisdom has had a terrible track record recently.

John Fritze of the Baltimore Sun suggests Republican senate nominee Kathy Szeliga at least has that in her favor, and explains how the Baltimore County legislator is doing everything right for November.

“A number of observers said the second-term state delegate ran a shrewd campaign to win the GOP nomination — including a snappy TV ad that featured her riding a motorcycle — and is sounding all the right themes for the general election,” Fritze wrote.

The issue for Szeliga, as with any race, will be whether Republicans turn out in big enough numbers for her to repeat Gov. Larry Hogan’s surprise win in the state in 2014. Complicating matters is the fact that Democrats turn out more in presidential races, and outnumber Republicans in the Old Line State, two to one.

That doesn’t make it impossible, but it does make it hard.