A READER ASKS THAT I MENTION THE Tennessee right-to-hunt amendment that’s on the ballot in Tennessee this election. I’m voting for it, though I’m not sure it does as much as its supporters hope. But note that because of the way things work, not voting on it is effectively the same as voting “No.” It’s not an especially crowded ballot this year, though. (Bumped).
UPDATE: Tom Blumer: Accelerating Toward The Abyss: The Real Story of Fiscal Year 2010. “After cutting through the ‘clever’ misdirections contained in the final Monthly Treasury Statement of the federal government’s fiscal year just ended on September 30, it’s clear that that Uncle Sam’s true financial situation deteriorated at an even faster rate in fiscal 2010 than it did during fiscal 2009.”
PAUL MIRENGOFF IS unimpressed with Mike Huckabee’s “Gambit.” “As to Huckabee’s 2008 presidential run, reservations did not center on his social status and educational background. Rather, they focused on his time as governor, during which he was hardly a paragon of small government, low tax conservatism or of sound judgment. During the campaign, moreover, Huckabee displayed disturbing Carteresque tendencies when it came to foreign policy.”
GENTRIFICATION: Megan McArdle responds to a critic. “The rest of her post puts me in mind of the phenomenon that William Easterly has described in development circles: the recycling of ideas that have failed before, always unveiled with much fanfare, but no real explanation as to why this time is different. Frankly, it makes me understand why Easterly sometimes gets a little testy. . . . Perhaps it is unfair of me, but it seems to me that both Ms. Baca and her colleagues are mixing up their normative and their positive arguments. Because I say that we don’t know any way to preserve economically mixed neighborhoods, they essentially accuse me of ideological bad faith.” The recycling of ideas that have failed before, with no real explanation of why this time is different, describes much of the progressive project. And those who point this out are inevitably accused of bad faith, or worse. Sadly, the beat-down that McArdle applies is unlikely to have the necessary educational impact.
MORE ECONOMIC CHEER: Think this economy is bad? Wait for 2012. If this thesis — that elections drive economic crisis — is correct (and I’m not so sure that it is), then the solution is obvious: Give the government less power. With less involvement in the economy, less will be driven by electoral winds.
HELPING SAILORS who serve as soldiers. “By the time the fighting dies down in the sandbox, some twenty percent of sailors will have had the experience of serving with the army. No telling what long term effects that will have. But so far, the navy sees the IA program as a net plus. Sailors know more about the army, and soldiers, by working with sailors, and hearing their tales (many true) of naval life, know more about the navy. This makes it easier for those times, and they are increasingly frequent, where soldiers and sailors have to work together.” In the 19th Century, sailors often served as infantry, or at least Marines. It’s back to the future, I guess.
PAULINA PORIZKOVA: “In interviews I gave at the wise age of 17 and 18, I pontificated about the beauty of age and wisdom, and blabber on about how I look forward to my first wrinkle. What an idiot I was. . . . To age is a privilege, not a birthright, even though most of us in the civilized world seem to forget this. This choice of ‘not-aging’ is actually reserved for well-off women with lots of time and money.” It doesn’t work as well for Madonna as Paulina suggests. Madonna looks like a cyborg. And not a sexy one. Sarah Palin would be better, but Paulina finds that painful to contemplate.
Your posting about the Levis sale at Amazon was quite timely. Weather here just yesterday turned rainy and cool. I haven’t worn long pants except for work in months.
Anyway, put on jeans last night and found them a bit worn out. Looked at your site moments ago and voila!
MARKETS IN EVERYTHING: Putting A Price On Professors. Happily, I’m quite profitable for my school. In a troubled industry, you want to be a profit center, not a cost center.
Meanwhile, James Joyner has more thoughts. “I’ve been complaining about the transformation of higher ed into a ‘customer service’ business and about the move toward having universities run by bean counters with graduate degrees in faux disciplines like ‘Higher Education Administration’ for years. But I’m not necessarily against the movement described here. . . . The problem, however, is that the metrics the educrats are likely to use won’t address these problems and, indeed, will exacerbate them.”
The real problem is that higher education isn’t providing enough of a benefit to its graduates, not that universities aren’t extracting enough money from the students. But read the whole thing. Including this: “And, of course, while professors are expensive, they’re not the main expense. Administrators outnumber faculty at most universities these days. But I suspect that won’t get the scrutiny it deserves.” Speaking of cost centers. Much more on administrative bloat, here.
WELL, THAT JUST SUCKS: Vaccines could help elephantiasis spread. “Parasitic worms can adjust their survival strategy based on their host’s immune response. This means potential vaccines against elephantiasis might make the infection spread more easily through communities.” Reading the story, though, I wonder if the problem isn’t exaggerated here.
I SAID BEFORE THAT WIKILEAKS’ JULIAN ASSANGE WAS CLEARLY A TOOL, BUT WHOSE? Well, so far the two biggest scoops from the latest document dump are that the infamous Lancet study was bogus, and that WMDs were found in Iraq in quantity. Neither of these stories is actually news to people who were paying attention, but now — conveniently enough just before an election, and even nicely timed for George W. Bush’s new book release — these stories are getting a fresh round of play. . . .
WHAT COULD GO WRONG? Lego 3D printer itching to make Lego robots. “So far, the MakerLegoBot has made quaint objects like little houses. But its ultimate purpose can be nothing other than to make other Lego robots. Once they can replicate, it’s game over for us.”
WAS MOORE’S LAW INEVITABLE? “They could not believe their eyes. The curve said they could have machines that attained orbital speed… within four years. And they could get their payload right out of Earth’s immediate gravity well just a little later. They could have satellites almost at once, the curve insinuated, and if they wished — if they wanted to spend the money, and do the research and the engineering — they could go to the Moon quite soon after that. . . . It is important to remember that in 1953 none of the technology for these futuristic journeys existed. No one knew how to do go that fast and survive. Even the most optimistic die-hard visionaries did not expect a lunar landing any sooner than the proverbial ‘Year 2000.’ The only voice telling them they could do it was a curve on a piece of paper. But the curve was right. Just not politically correct. In 1957 the USSR launched Sputnik, right on schedule. Then US rockets zipped to the Moon 12 years later.”
UPDATE: Reader Eric Schubert writes:
You see the parallel between the conclusion in the hyperlinked paper about the power of self-organization and the acceleration of change in transportation, and the current situation with the self-organizing Tea Party movement and the acceleration of political change, don’t you? Can we call it “Santelli’s Law?”
TIPPED OFF? Jack Conway may have tipped brother off about drug investigation. “Jack Conway, the Democratic attorney general of Kentucky who is running for U.S. Senate, says he was not involved in a recent criminal investigation involving his brother and drug trafficking. But it appears he — along with other law enforcement officials — tipped his brother off about the investigation.”
J. CHRISTIAN ADAMS: Time for Heads to Roll Over New Black Panther Dismissal. “The many Department of Justice officials behind this debacle should be very nervous about a front-page Washington Post article today that confirms everything I’ve written about at PJM.”
BLOGS AND WEB-MAGAZINES: A Grand Convergence? I remember back when Slate called blogs “Me-Zines.” I like what James Lileks said back when blogs were new:
A wire story consists of one voice pitched low and calm and full of institutional gravitas, blissfully unaware of its own biases or the gaping lacunae in its knowledge. Whereas blogs have a different format: Clever teaser headline that has little to do with the actual story, but sets the tone for this blog post. Breezy ad hominem slur containing the link to the entire story. Excerpt of said story, demonstrating its idiocy (or brilliance) Blogauthor’s remarks, varying from dismissive sniffs to a Tolstoi- length rebuttal. Seven comments from people piling on, disagreeing, adding a link, acting stupid, preaching to the choir, accusing choir of being Nazis, etc.
I’d say it’s a throwback to the old newspapers, the days when partisan slants covered everything from the play story to the radio listings, but this is different. The link changes everything. When someone derides or exalts a piece, the link lets you examine the thing itself without interference. TV can’t do that. Radio can’t do that. Newspapers and magazines don’t have the space. My time on the internet resembles eight hours at a coffeeshop stocked with every periodical in the world – if someone says “I read something stupid” or “there was this wonderful piece in the Atlantic” then conversation stops while you read the piece and make up your own mind.
Still the best distinction between trad-media and blogs, I think.
SUNDAY SUPPERS and make-ahead meals. My grandmother was a genius at this sort of thing, doing a lot of cooking (and cleaning) throughout the day without ever looking like she was working hard.
TRUE LOVE: Woman set to marry herself. “It’s not that I’m anti-marriage. I just hope that I can express a different idea within the bounds of a tradition.”
INSTAVISION: Shutting Down Government’s Open Bar: Gov. Tim Pawlenty Gets Fiscally Specific. He has some positive things to say about the Tea Party, too and — most strikingly — joins with other Republican thought leaders in saying that if the GOP doesn’t get its act together post-November, it may be time to think of a third party in 2012. That’s at about 6:35 in. (Bumped).
If you have been getting an annoying sense of déjà vu while watching the air blitz in the U.S. Senate race, it may be because you’ve seen it all before. I’m not referring to Republican challenger Dino Rossi’s previous campaigns for elected office, but instead to a remarkable amount of video and interview footage from Sen. Patty Murray’s attack ads against Rossi that bear a striking resemblance to images from ads against Rossi that aired in 2008. Only the ads that aired in ’08 were in support of Gov. Chris Gregoire and paid for by one-time SEIU and AFL-CIO darling, the Evergreen Progress political action committee.
Well, she gets all her ideas from these people, so why not ads? Sure, it may be illegal, but campaign finance laws — like taxes — are for the little people.
Malaria has always been one of humanity’s biggest killers, but it may be far bigger than we realised. An unprecedented survey of the disease suggests that it kills between 125,000 and 277,000 people per year in India alone. In contrast, the World Health Organization puts India’s toll at just 16,000.
Other countries using similar accounting methods, such as Indonesia, may also be underestimating deaths from malaria. That means it could be killing many more than the WHO’s official estimate of nearly 1 million people a year worldwide, suggesting more money should be spent to fight it.
Just FYI I am a contractor for USG working on novel-pathogen preparedness issues. This contract has caused me to dig deep into the books (my background is not in biology, but as a Special Forces operator, and my education is in history and business, undergrad and grad). The problem is: eradicating diseases is a very very brutally difficult thing to do. Most bacteriologists, virologists and parasitologists will tell you that in the end-game that they see, the bugs might well win. And malaria is a bastard of a hard pathogen to eradicate.
First, these things are organisms and Ma Nature disinclines them to shuffle gently off the world stage. They adapt and mutate. What we see as extermination forces, the organism experiences as environmental pressures, to which its response is selective adaptation. In other words, we have to hit it hard as the hammers of hell or there will be survivors who may have a survival trait that breeds generations we can’t kill. (True, this is more a problem with fast-mutating viruses, say, than it is with a more complex parasite like plasmodium. But the same principles are at work in all organisms, just at different velocities).
Second, most of them have multiple hosts. That means that even if we get them out of the human population we need to persistently inoculate and/or treat every new cohort of humans, or the thing comes roaring back from its reservoir in other animals (where it may be benign). We were able to eradicate natural smallpox with a combination of surveillance and inoculation, but it took 20 hard years of international effort, and variola major has no other host than humans. (This is a double-aged sword: it means if we can kill off the virus in humans, we’ve made it extinct in nature; but it also means we haven’t had usable animal models for it until recently, when bioterror concerns motivated some research). Of course, one problem now is that no one has immunity any more, but stocks of the virus still exist, and it’s also possible in theory to synthesize it in the lab, since its genome has been published. Pleasant thought, eh? An engineer rebuilding it might even decide to alter it for greater pathogenicity, or resistance to attack by the antibodies created by current vaccines.
Third, eliminating one organism may create an evolutionary, life-niche vacancy that becomes an opportunity for a new parasite or pathogen. This is true not only of the pathogen itself, but also of its vectors or non-human hosts, if that’s where we choose to attack it.
Yeah, the best way to attack plasmodium is probably to attack the mosquito that’s its vector (from a human standpoint) and its host for a key part of its life cycle. And the best way to attack the skeeter remains that vilified molecule, DDT. But eliminating a human scourge has only been done once — variola — and it’s only been done because of that germ’s peculiar vulnerability as a human-only pathogen.
You know, back from its kickoff in 1959 through the US entry in 1965, the smallpox eradication program almost didn’t start, because a previous malaria-eradication effort failed. There was also cold-war politics: the USSR favored eliminating smallpox, but the USA was focused on malaria. But the malaria eradication effort (even with DDT) choked, and people were not willing to try another eradication program… but somebody talked LBJ into backing it, and when the US swung around to agree with the USSR on eradication targets, the world as a whole was able to beat this monstrous plague. In 20 years of massive effort.
If you want to learn about the smallpox eradication project, you’re in luck. The guy that ran the project was an American from CDC, D.A. Henderson, and he’s written a great, readable book on the subject, Smallpox: Death of a Disease.
And he’s also discussed at length in Richard Preston’s The Demon in the Freezer. I make new guys on our project read all of Preston’s bio-hazard stuff. Not like it’s a hard penance, Preston’s a compelling writer.
Finally, if you want to look at malaria in particular, some of the difficulties are brought out in a July 2007 National Geographic article that’s available online.
Now, Henderson himself has come to believe that further eradications are not possible.
While I understand and respect his reasoning, I still support eradication efforts for reasons that I know you understand. We cannot decide to shrink from massive tasks because we might fail. (Cue the Stripes Pearl Harbor speech….) But we need to be aware of how we might fail, and what victory short of pathogen extinction looks like. Because we can’t work to eradicate all pathogens at once: we need to prioritize our work. And certainly, probability of success has to be part of that prioritization. I think malaria is a good next target, but it’s a dreadfully hard one.
Remember when you say, “faster, please,” there’s a lot of really good people out here pedaling as fast as we can. One thing we sure could use is more young Americans taking up hard sciences. I expect a lot of progress from molecular biology as the cost of DNA/RNA sequencing drops, the speed increases, other molecular analysis tools open up, and human knowledge and bioinformatics capability expand. But there’s always room for more smart folks in biology. I’d sure rather see the kids here in this field than mired in the law-school bubble, destined for hating life on doc review in a basement somewhere on a case where only the litigants care about the outcome.
Advocates for more transparency about law school cost and employment prospects welcomed recent news that the American Bar Association is examining the issue. However, a new survey of prospective law students indicates that better information would do little to stem the tide of law school applications — which hit an all-time high last year.
Veritas, a law school admissions consulting firm, polled 112 prospective law school applicants in June and July, and 81% said they would still apply even if “a significant number of law school graduates were unable to find jobs in their desired fields.” Only 4% said they would not apply to law school under that circumstance.
At the same time, more than half the survey respondents — 63% — were concerned about finding a job after law school, and 70% said they were worried about finding a position in the field of their particular interest.
Hmm. This suggests no bubble-bursting quite yet. But I wonder if that will change when applicants actually know a significant number of people — older siblings and friends — with heavy debts and no jobs? As someone who sells law degrees, I suppose I should hope that this study is right. My advice to potential law students, though, is to avoid the debt part, at least.
XENI JARDIN: Crazy jihad troll who threatened Matt & Trey from South Park is so totally busted. “A 20-year old guy named Zachary Adam Chesser pled guilty on Wednesday to three federal charges: communicating threats against South Park’s writers, soliciting violent jihadists to desensitize law enforcement, and attempting to provide material support to Al-Shabaab, an organization designated by the US as a terrorist group. Chesser is so busted. He faces a maximum penalty of 30 years in prison when sentenced on February 25, 2011. He was born Jewish, and converted in his teens to an extremist strain of Islam, adopting the name Abu Talhah al-Amrikee.”
PROFESSOR JACOBSON: Media Matters Is The Symptom, Not The Disease. “Notice something interesting. No conservatives are trying to prevent people from appearing on NPR, but liberal interest groups and their media outlets are trying to prevent people from appearing on Fox News. There is a real threat to freedom in this country, and it does not come from conservatives. Media Matters is just the symptom, not the disease.”
HOTLINE:Nancy Pelosi has less money on hand than rival. “Pelosi raised $42,908 between October 1 and October 13 and had $176,738 in the bank. Businessman John Dennis (R) raised $240,764 in those 13 days, according to reports filed with the FEC. Dennis ended the period with $214,877 on hand.” Here’s Dennis’s website.
TIM PAWLENTY explains things to President Obama. But I found this commentary interesting: “Obama wants to force Bachmann to campaign at home rather than helping other Republicans and leading Tea Party rallies.” So the Democrats’ master plan is to use President Obama to neutralize . . . Rep. Michelle Bachmann?
JIM TREACHER: Greg Sargent, Thought Cop. “Thank goodness we have Greg Sargent of the Washington Post to remind us what’s permissible to think. Not what’s permissible to act on, or even to say aloud, but to think. How can we all be free if people are allowed to think in unapproved ways? ‘Thoughtcrime does not entail death. Thoughtcrime is death.’”
SPACE: Virgin spaceship gets new runway. “The world’s first commercial passenger spaceship moved a step closer to deployment Friday as tycoon Richard Branson unveiled a new runway at a remote New Mexico spaceport.”
FASTER, PLEASE: Study finds hope for new drugs that fight flu. “New images of the influenza A virus, whose strains cause the seasonal flu and the H1N1 “swine” flu, have revealed its Achilles’ heel, researchers say, and the finding could lead to a targeted drug that can fight all strains of the virus. The weakness stems from a basic structure in all flu viruses, called the M2 channel, which is key in helping the virus reproduce.”
DON’T GET COCKY. “The high-fiving and celebrating has been going on in conservative circles since early summer, at least. But there’s only one thing – they’re still planning to hold an election on November 2; some states have begun already.”
UPDATE: Reader Bart Hall writes: “Glenn, Republicans quite simply don’t do this stuff, ever. Not even for dog-catcher in East Gopher Gulch, Nebraska. The ‘elephant’ is quite simply that voter fraud is entirely coming from one party, and it’s been that way at least since 1960 that I can remember personally. They must be terribly insecure people.” Well, Republicans used to do this, back when there were Republican big-city machines. But those don’t exist any more.
BREAST AUGMENTATION via stem cell injections. “The objections surrounding the use of embryonic stem cells in organ and tissue reconstruction could be silenced if clinical trials for a new strain of stem cells derived from liposuctioned fat get a nod of approval from the FDA. And if they do, their first order of business will probably be growing bigger breasts.”
WASHINGTON POST:Deep Divisions At Justice Over Black Panther Case. “Interviews and government documents reviewed by The Washington Post show that the case tapped into deep divisions within the Justice Department that persist today over whether the agency should focus on protecting historically oppressed minorities or enforce laws without regard to race.” Funny they published this story at 3:30 on a Friday . . . .
HOPE: Union Fires Stage Hand for Wearing Bush Hat and Shirt. That is, the U.S.S. Bush. “The shirt didn’t explicitly support George H.W Bush but the aircraft carrier named after the former President and the aircraft carrier his son has served on for the past many years and is currently deployed.” Still politically unacceptable.