TIRED OF BLOGGING ABOUT WAR. If you want to read about it tonight, go to Vinod Valopillil’s for some interesting observations on Europe, and to Donald Sensing for some more. There’s also some interesting discussion over at Jerry Pournelle’s, including the observation — with which I heartily agree — that we could have spared ourself a lot of trouble if we had gotten things right back in, say, 1988 or even 1990. But I also agree that that’s water under the bridge, now.

This Gregg Easterbrook piece on homeland security is good too. Back later.

TONY BLAIR:

But there are also consequences of “stop the war”.

If I took that advice, and did not insist on disarmament, yes, there would be no war. But there would still be Saddam. Many of the people marching will say they hate Saddam. But the consequences of taking their advice is that he stays in charge of Iraq, ruling the Iraqi people. A country that in 1978, the year before he seized power, was richer than Malaysia or Portugal. A country where today, 135 out of every 1000 Iraqi children die before the age of five – 70% of these deaths are from diarrhoea and respiratory infections that are easily preventable. Where almost a third of children born in the centre and south of Iraq have chronic malnutrition.

Where 60% of the people depend on Food Aid.

Where half the population of rural areas have no safe water.

Where every year and now, as we speak, tens of thousands of political prisoners languish in appalling conditions in Saddam’s jails and are routinely executed.

Where in the past 15 years over 150,000 Shia Moslems in Southern Iraq and Moslem Kurds in Northern Iraq have been butchered; with up to four million Iraqis in exile round the world, including 350,000 now in Britain.

This isn’t a regime with Weapons of Mass Destruction that is otherwise benign. This is a regime that contravenes every single principle or value anyone of our politics believes in.

There will be no march for the victims of Saddam, no protests about the thousands of children that die needlessly every year under his rule, no righteous anger over the torture chambers which if he is left in power, will be left in being.

I rejoice that we live in a country where peaceful protest is a natural part of our democratic process.

But I ask the marchers to understand this.

I do not seek unpopularity as a badge of honour. But sometimes it is the price of leadership. And the cost of conviction.

But as you watch your TV pictures of the march, ponder this:

If there are 500,000 on that march, that is still less than the number of people whose deaths Saddam has been responsible for.

If there are one million, that is still less than the number of people who died in the wars he started.

I’d like to see the “peace” movement take some responsibility for the likely consequences of its views, and the deaths that may come from doing nothing. But those don’t count, you see, because the United States isn’t involved.

(Emphasis added. Via Andrew Sullivan). Meanwhile David Pryce-Jones writes that the protesters’ lack of concern for Arab lives and freedom is, well, racist. “Behind the demonstrators’ slogans lies the assumption that Arabs should be left alone: they don’t mind being brutalised, tortured and murdered by a fascist thug like Saddam. Where they come from, it is the natural order of things.”

You’d think that they could manage a few hundred folks to march to the Iraqi mission and demand that Saddam step down, at least. And they could — if they cared.

UPDATE: Here’s more about that from another chap named Blair.

And there’s this, with photos.

ANOTHER UPDATE: Here’s what Iraqis think of the protests. Short answer: not much.

AMILAND reports that Gerhard Schroeder may be facing what amounts to a no-confidence vote. Meanwhile The Observer has a report (though it’s largely based on anonymous sources) that the United States is planning to withdraw troops, bases, and industrial cooperation from Germany.

BURYING THE LEDE: This story is about Iraq rejecting the French peace plan, but here’s the real news:

As 3,000 Iraqis took part in a protest against the war in Baghdad, the inspectors visited nine sites, including a Baghdad facility that produces rocket parts, as their hunt for chemical, biological or nuclear weapons continued.

They could only get 3,000 Iraqis to turn out against the war — in Baghdad? Then there’s this line:

Mr. Sabri claimed that any peace initiative that did not have Washington’s backing was doomed to fail.

Here’s your headline: Iraqi Diplomat Tells Truth! But wait, as Ron Popeil says — there’s more! Apparently, the Axis of Weasel is in danger of fragmenting, as Germany and Belgium are wavering. And the New Europe is standing up to the French:

In the meantime, Bulgaria has vowed to resist French attempts to bully it into withdrawing support for America’s plans to disarm Iraq. Last week the French ambassador to Sofia warned Bulgaria that its pro-American stance could jeopardise its efforts to join the European Union.

“Bulgaria has to consider carefully where its long-term interests lie,” Jean Loup Kuhn-Delforge said last week. “When people live in Europe they should express solidarity and think European-style.”

Solomon Pasi, Bulgaria’s foreign minister, condemned the French as neo-appeasers. “We all remember the hesitancy of the Allies, who weren’t sure whether to attack Hitler. They could have prevented so much,” he said.

“We’re in a situation where we have a moral imperative to act and act now.”

Perhaps Bulgaria has considered where its long-term interests lie. Because, ultimately, the French don’t bring that much to the table.

GOOGLE BUYS PYRA: Hey, maybe Blog*Spot will start working now.

A RENEWED TALIBAN WEB PRESENCE? Stephen Aquila does some cyber-sleuthing.

READER BERNARD YOMTOV sends this link to a story from my own hometown — er, well, not far away, anyway. (Yeah, I get the Saturday paper, but I didn’t even open it yesterday.)

You can count on Union County to embarrass itself this way every few years, sadly. But my former student Margaret Held is on the case, and I expect she’ll clean their clocks.

However, if the facts are as this story indicates, this case may be ripe for a Justice Department civil rights investigation. How about it, General Ashcroft?

MERDE IN FRANCE reports that fewer French demonstrated against war than were marching over retirement benefits just a couple of weeks ago, in worse weather. Meanwhile Martin Lindeskog reports from Gothenburg. “Make Tea, Not War?” What kind of slogan is that?

UNILATERALISM: Here’s a history of the Rainbow Warrior bombing.

HEY — did I mention I’m on IndyMedia?

THE DIPLOMATIC COUNTEROFFENSIVE HAS BEGUN:

SYDNEY, Australia, Feb. 15 — A security alliance with the United States is more important strategically for Australia than an alliance with the United Nations, Australia’s prime minister said Sunday.

Can this be true? Looks like it.

DAVE WINER, NO WARBLOGGER, ISN’T BUYING THE “IT’S ABOUT OIL” ARGUMENT:

And we all know what he does with the oil money — he uses it to build nukes, missiles to deliver them, etc etc. He is one major asshole, a dangerous one. Why anyone would stand up for him is beyond me. Yet that’s what the French, Germans, Russians and Chinese (and others) are doing. This makes no sense. (Unless you consider the possibility that they have conflicts of interest.)

You know, I’ve been getting email from antiwar folks claiming that they’ve got the momentum now. But I’m seeing more, not less, skepticism toward their claims from people who have been paying attention. (If you missed it, see Thomas Nephew’s lengthy post on how he’s reluctantly decided in favor of war).

French obstructionism and guys on stilts don’t translate into a moral or intellectual case in favor of leaving Saddam alone.

UPDATE: Reader Allen S. Thorpe emails:

“It’s all about oil.” is the right answer to the wrong question. The correct question is “Why is France being obstructionist in the U.N. and NATO?”

Indeed. Another reader sends this link, from which we learn:

In recent weeks and months, Iraq reportedly has signed a flurry of deals with companies from Italy (Eni), Spain (Repsol YPF), Russia (Tatneft), France (TotalFinaElf), China, India, Turkey, and others. According to a report in The Economist, Iraq has signed over 30 deals with various oil companies, offering generous rates of return (“on the order of 20%”) as part of its “Development and Production Contract” (DPC) model. Iraq introduced the DPC in 2000 to replace the previous “Production Sharing Contract” (PSC) arrangement. . . .

The largest of Iraq’s oilfields slated for post-sanctions development is Majnoon, with reserves of 12-20 billion barrels of 28o-35o API oil, and located 30 miles north of Basra on the Iranian border. French company TotalFinaElf reportedly has signed a deal with Iraq on development rights for Majnoon. Majnoon was reportedly brought onstream (under a “national effort” program begun in 1999) in May 2002 at 50,000 bbl/d, with output possibly reaching 100,000 bbl/d by the end of 2002 (according to Oil Minister Rashid). Future development on Majnoon ultimately could lead to production of up to 600,000 bbl/d at an estimated (according to Deutsche Bank) cost of $4 billion. In July 2001, angered by France’s perceived support for the U.S. “smart sanctions” plan, Iraq announced that it would no longer give French companies priority in awarding oil contracts, and would reconsider existing contracts as well. Iraq also announced that it was inclined to favor Russia, which has been supporting Iraq at the U.N. Security Council, on awarding rights to Majnoon and another large southern oil field, Nahr Umar.

TotalFinaElf apparently has all but agreed with Iraq on development of the Nahr Umar field. Initial output from Nahr Umar is expected to be around 440,000 bbl/d of 42o API crude, but may reach 500,000 bbl/d with more extensive development. The 2.5-4.6 billion-barrel Halfaya project is the final large field development in southern Iraq. Several companies (BHP, CNPC, Agip) reportedly have shown interest in the field, which ultimately could yield 200,000-300,000 bbl/d in output at a possible cost of $2 billion.

I guess Thorpe’s right — it really is all about oooiiiilll — but it’s a matter of what the meaning of “it” is. . . .

I THINK THAT THIS A.P. STORY EXPLAINS WHAT’S NEXT:

If the United States and Britain propose a resolution before March 14 they would run the risk of a veto by France, Russia and China. It would be a punishing diplomatic setback that Bush may not want to risk.

Nor is there any guarantee of success later on.

Going to war without a fresh resolution would not mean going it alone, however. Britain, Spain, Italy, Australia, Turkey, Romania, Greece and Poland are among the nations that have indicated they would support the United States.

“If Saddam Hussein is not disarmed and is allowed to develop his capabilities he could strike Romania and the rest of Europe,” Romanian Foreign Minister Mircea Geoana said this week as the parliament in Bucharest agreed to provide noncombat troops to a U.S.-led coalition and to permit use of Romania’s air space and airports.

Bush in his speech to the U.N. General Assembly last September suggested he considered the United Nations (news – web sites) on the edge of irrelevance.

Declare the U.N. irrelevant, go to war, then set up a parallel organization of, you know, legitimate governments. Will Bush have the balls?

It’s riskier not to, isn’t it?

IF LIFE WERE FAIR, or if the New York Times were a meritocracy, Cathy Seipp would have a regular Times op-ed slot. But it’s not. As a consolation prize, though, we get to read her Maureen Dowd deconstruction in The Washingtonian.

WANT TO SUPPORT DEMOCRACY IN IRAQ? Here’s one way.

BILL WHITTLE has an essay on Columbia, and courage, and love.

INTERESTING REPORT from The Grille:

A fascinating poll conducted in the United Kingdom suggests that Britons are not as anti-war as normally believed. While only 28% of Britons would strongly or generally support an attack on Iraq if overwhelmingly rejected by the security council and if British troops are asked to take part, if the Security Council approves of the action support climbs to 82% with only 6% strongly opposed. But here is the most interesting thing – if a majority of the council votes in favor of the war yet action is blocked by a French, Russian, or Chinese veto, support for action only drops to 62% and, perhaps more importantly, the strongly opposed number rises to just 11%. Perhaps even more importantly for Blair, while Tories are generally more hawkish than Labor voters, it is not his own party but Liberal Democrats who make us the disproportionate share of doves – Labor voters are still 60% in favor of action given the third scenario with only 12% strongly opposed.

In case of blogspot problems (no, surely not) here’s a direct link to the poll story.

A PICTURE worth a thousand words.

Maybe two thousand.

JUSTIN WEITZ reports on anti-Semitism, anti-Americanism, and anti-war protests in Paris.

THERE’S AN AXISOFWEASELS.COM. Boy, people sure set up new domains fast.

STEVEN DEN BESTE WRITES that the U.N. has rendered itself irrelevant by not following through on its threats of action.

He warns the Bush Administration not to let itself suffer the same fate.

UPDATE: Arthur Silber agrees, and adds some additional observations.

I SAW KNOXVILLE’S ANTIWAR PROTEST, which amusingly was held at the mammoth West Town mall because the protesters realized that if they held it downtown on a Saturday no one would see it. I took a couple of pictures, but I’m not posting them. That’s because (1) they suck — taking pictures from a moving car, in the rain, when you’re the one driving tends to produce lousy images; and (2) they give the impression that no one was there. There were actually about 30-40 people when I drove by, but they were spread out enough that it was impossible to get more than a few into any picture.

Notably absent from the Knoxville protest: pictures of Che Guevara, signs proclaiming support for communism, and anti-Bush slogans. Also, there were no guys on stilts.

Sadly, the London protests, which Perry DeHavilland covered and photographed, were a more-representative collection of nastiness and communist-sympathizing. As Perry writes: “All the usual people really. Yawn.”

More proof: Bianca Jagger spoke. And — though this is redundant — said something heart-stoppingly dumb.

UPDATE: Here’s a report from Phoenix, which seems to have fallen somewhere in between. He has pictures, too. So does Howard Owens, from Ventura. Same old, same old: “Bush is a War Monger, No blood for oil, yadda yadda.” Here’s a report from Houston, and here’s Asparagirl’s report from NYC, with pictures. Plus she has more pictures on her new photoblog. My favorite: “Defend Iraq’s Sovereignty!” from the Young Socialists.

UPDATE: Letter From Gotham reports:

This article compares the down-home normalness of today’s protesters with the hippie degeneracy of the Vietnam years. From personal experience I’d say it was the exact opposite, but I didn’t get a chance to see the mass of demonstrators near Dag Plaza, I saw the hippie street theater types.

That’s it, folks. Anyone who says that the city was shut down is not telling the truth. On the West Side life went on as usual.

Which is weird enough. Meanwhile Anna at Petbunny posts pics from Washington. They seem kind of, well, empty, though. And here’s a report from Hollywood, with pics.

Okay, one more — don’t miss this report of the massive protests in Estonia.

ANOTHER UPDATE: Here’s more on Knoxville antiwar activity:

The first incident took place early Thursday morning when a 26-year-old UT student was arrested for allegedly spray painting anti-war slogans on two UT buildings, police said.

Caleb Eugene Wilson of White Avenue was charged with vandalism of property valued at more than $500, public intoxication and evading arrest, according to UT police officer Ed Cummings.

Meanwhile, Hooter’s restaurant has fired back at the protesters who (as reported here earlier) covered a Hooter’s billboard with a sign reading “Frodo has failed — Bush has the Ring.”

Employees of the Hooters restaurant at 8050 Kingston Pike responded with their tongues firmly in cheek. They posted a sign out front saying: “Frodo Has Failed – Hooters Has The Wing.”

I hear they’re spicy.

ONE MORE UPDATE: Today’s (Sunday’s) Knoxville News-Sentinel reports that there were 500 people there. There sure weren’t when I drove by, but that was at 11, which was the official start time for the protest. More folks must have shown up later.

SETTING A SERIOUS TONE FOR DISCUSSIONS OF WAR AND PEACE, these Australian antiwar marchers don the traditional stilts and pointed bras. Here’s a link to a gallery of photos illustrating these marchers’ deep concern with geopolitics, the spread of weapons of mass destruction, and the importance of creating a stable world order in which papier-mache puppets can live in harmony with one another. (Note the requisite “Uncle Sam is a terrorist” signs. See, the Americans are fighting terrorists, but when you read Chomsky it turns out that — get this — they’re the real terrorists! Deep, huh?)

Somehow, I suspect that this will set the tone for the day. But then, these protests have been essentially the same since the nuclear-freeze marches of twenty years ago.

And those guys were wrong, and tools of dictatorial foreign powers, too. Apparently some things never go out of fashion.

UPDATE: Reader Andrew Maizels emails:

Glenn – take a look at the middle picture in the top row. The guy holding the sign that says “Howard Don’t Make Us Targets”?

Message to this guy: We (I’m an Aussie too) *are* targets. Have people forgotten the Bali bombing already?

They choose not to remember.

UPDATE: Hey, I’m on IndyMedia!

PANICKED MOBS: Mostly a media conceit, according to researchers:

More than 50 years of research on human behavior in disasters contradict “the panic myth,” Dr. Lee Clarke of Rutgers University said in an interview. He is an international authority on community response to disasters and civil-defense preparations.

Research shows that people behave in catastrophes much like they do in ordinary life – helping those nearby first before they help themselves, Dr. Clarke said. The empathy continues in the aftermath, with people connecting with one another to cooperate in rebuilding and recovering emotionally.

“We have five decades of research on all kinds of disasters: earthquakes, tornadoes, and airplane crashes, ” he said. “People rarely lose control,” he added, noting that human nature tends to shine brightest at such times.”

Dr. Clarke spoke at the annual national meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, being held here.

Media folks, on the other hand, seem much more prone to hysteria.

JOSH CLAYBOURN writes that charges by that other Josh (Marshall) that Bush is ignoring Afghanistan are, well, wrong.

HANS BLIX, ON THE JOB.

RICHARD PERLE SAYS THAT FOR THE FRENCH, IT’S ALL ABOUT OIL:

Richard Perle, a former US Assistant Defence Secretary, said the French anti-war stance was driven by economic interests. French oil giant TotalFinaElf has exclusive exploration contracts worth €60bn – €75bn to develop the massive Majnoon and Bin Umar oilfields in southern Iraq, he said.

“What’s distinctive about the Total contract is that it’s not favourable to Iraq, it’s favourable to Total,” Mr Perle, the chairman of the Pentagon’s Defence Policy Board, said during an address in New York.

“One can suspect that there’s some arbitrage there, that in between the real value of that contract and the cash value of that contract there’s a certain amount of political support.

“It’s entirely possible that Saddam negotiated that deal because that along with the revenues, he could get something else.”

He said oil experts who had analysed the deal described it as “extraordinarily lopsided” in favour of the French company.

Gee, imagine that.

UPDATE: And Juan Gato thinks he’s found the explanation for French Mugabe-coddling.

ANOTHER UPDATE: Here’s more on the French oil connection.

INTERESTING REPORT ON ISLAMISM in the Netherlands. Unsettling, too.

A ROMANTIC BLOGGER VALENTINE, by Kieran Healy.

THE FRENCH EMBASSY PROTEST IN WASHINGTON YESTERDAY went well, according to this firsthand report from a Georgetown University student. And he’s got quite a few pictures on his blog, too. There were no takers for the free white flags they were passing out, though.

He also has pictures of the pro-French counterdemonstrators. Don’t miss the whole thing. (And here’s a story on the protest from the Daily Hoya.)

OH, PLEASE, NOT THIS AGAIN:

“Something has gone terribly wrong in America,” said Jacqueline Rose, a feminist scholar in Britain. “America established a certain tradition of public dissent, with the civil rights and feminist and anti-Vietnam movements. But post-Sept. 11 there is a feeling that the American left has largely gone silent.”

I haven’t noticed that, though I’ve noticed that they have less and less to say beyond “Bush is Hitler,” and “it’s all about ooiiiill!” But maybe part of the difference between Europe and America is explained by this passage from the same article:

Some of the antiwar sentiment goes hand in hand with an outright hatred of all things American, a view that many believe belongs in the category of “stupid anti-Americanism,” as the author Peter Schneider, a German, put it in an interview. But stupid or not, such an attitude is on the rise.

What’s surprising to many European intellectuals, I think, is that this time Americans, even American intellectuals, are not following their lead.

And the commitment to “dissent” in America on the part of these European intellectuals is — not to put too fine a point on it — a huge lie. If twenty million Americans had marched to oppose Bill Clinton’s proposed national health insurance, these same intellectuals wouldn’t have been cheering them on as “dissenters” — they’d have been denouncing them as “cowboy individualists.” It’s only admirable “dissent,” you see, when it’s in conformity with the views of European intellectuals.

I suspect, for example, that this doesn’t count as dissent. But this presumably does. Yet, in fact, the latter is far more typical than the former.

KNOXVILLE BAND JAG STAR will be touring through the ‘stans to entertain U.S. troops. Here’s the latest, from BlogCritics. Excerpt:

The exact time and place of performances is being kept under wraps for security purposes, but the band will live in “tents and dorms” and visit with military personnel along the way. Knoxville radio station WOKI-FM will correspond regularly with the band by satellite for their morning show, and CNN is scheduled to film at least one of their live performances for a special television broadcast.

Go Jag Star!

IT’S EDWARD BOYD’S ONE-YEAR BLOGIVERSARY. Drop by and say hello!

SWEDISH BLOGGER MARTIN LINDESKOG will be covering the antiwar protests in Gothenburg tomorrow. He also offers a helpful illustration on how to recognize an “anti-war” protester.

TARIQ AZIZ refused to answer a question because the journalist who asked was Israeli.

Typical.

On the upside: when he’s not answering, he’s not lying!

I STAND FOURSQUARE FOR VICTORY!

ANOTHER BLOGGER TAKES THE BOEING: More or less literally in this case. Gary Leff’s frequent-flier weblog has gone corporate.

AN INTERESTING ARTICLE ON NANOTECHNOLOGY on the BBC website. Best bit:

I don’t want the science to slow down. I want the ethics to catch up.

Absolutely.

FRANCE “MAY HAVE DESTROYED THE U.N. as a serious institution.”

THE NEW REPUBLIC is unimpressed with Blix, and Villepin.

MARK KLEIMAN IS PRAISING ME today.

Yesterday, he was calling me an Iraqi agent.

I guess that means I’m batting .500, huh? And here I thought I was a politically correct tool of International Jewry. The things you learn about yourself when you blog.

UPDATE: Okay, so now I’m a politically-correct, McCarthyite Iraqi agent of the international Jewish conspiracy.

What bothers me is that somewhere out there, a guy is nodding and saying “well, yeah!”

But at least Kleiman likes me. . . .

ANOTHER UPDATE: Actually, it turns out I’m a leftist! No, really, experts agree!

PROTEST AT THE FRENCH EMBASSY: But in a stunning display of political ineptitude, “antiwar” marchers showed up to counterdemonstrate:

Midway through the rally, nearly 15 members of Georgetown Peace Action and College Democrats arrived for a counter-protest, supporting France’s current dissention with a possible U.S.-led coalition to oust Iraqi President Saddam Hussein.

The peace movement may survive being called objectively pro-Saddam. But subjectively pro-French? Political suicide.

UNIVERSITY OF TENNESSEE EVENTS: Monday, I’ll be moderating a debate between Tim Lynch of the Cato Institute and Paul Rosenzweig of Heritage regarding the Patriot Act and civil liberties (personally, I’m against the Act and for the liberties, but I’ll try to be neutral). It’s at the U.T. Law School at 12:15. Then, on Friday the 21st, it’ll be the Marbury v. Madison symposium, featuring William Van Alstyne (Duke), Mark Tushnet (Georgetown), and William S. Nelson (NYU). It’s the 200th anniversary of Marbury, which is generally regarded as establishing the Supreme Court’s power to strike down unconstitutional laws.

AN IRAQI GUARDIAN READER WRITES:

I write this to protest against all those people who oppose the war against Saddam Hussein, or as they call it, the “war against Iraq”. I am an Iraqi doctor, I worked in the Iraqi army for six years during Iraq-Iran war and four months during Gulf war. All my family still live in Iraq. I am an Arab Sunni, not Kurdish or Shia. I am an ordinary Iraqi not involved with the Iraqi opposition outside Iraq.

I am so frustrated by the appalling views of most of the British people, media and politicians. I want to say to all these people who are against the possible war, that if you think by doing so you are serving the interests of Iraqi people or saving them, you are not. You are effectively saving Saddam. You are depriving the Iraqi people of probably their last real chance get rid of him and to get out of this dark era in their history. . . .

Where were you while Saddam has been killing thousands of Iraqis since the early 70s? And where are you are now, given that every week he executes people through the “court of revolution”, a summary secret court run by the secret security office. Most of its sentences are executions which Saddam himself signs.

I could argue one by one against your reasons for opposing this war. But just ask yourselves why, out of about 500,000 Iraqis in Britain, you will not find even 1,000 of them participating tomorrow? Your anti-war campaign has become mass hysteria and you are no longer able to see things properly.

Poor guy. He actually thinks the antiwar movement cares about Iraqis, when, really, it’s just an excuse to oppose George Bush and America.

SKBUBBA THINKS HE’S FOUND A MESSAGE that the Democrats can sell.

Yeah, but they’ll never pick up on this.

MORE UNSAVORY BACKGROUND ON JOSCHKA FISCHER: What’s sad is, Fischer is actually more cooperative than his boss.

HOWARD KURTZ WRITES that the press keeps telling Americans how “terrified” we are:

And yet, most people are going about their daily business. They have lived through so many stretches of media shrillness – abducted women, missing children, killer sharks – that it has become background noise. Repeated warnings about terrorism, and all the false alarms, have diluted their effectiveness. An orange alert becomes like a snow alert, just another fact of life.

Yes. Every time I see some anchor talk about how “frightened” and “jittery” we are, it just reminds me how out of touch Big Media people are.

We’re not “jittery.” Americans are determined, and angry. Spoiled media bigshots, used to living in a cocoon of bodyguards and obsequious staffers, are the ones who are “jittery.” We saw this in the overwrought reaction to the anthrax attacks last year, and we’re seeing it again.

The good news is that their shrillness, as Kurtz notes, actually works against the terrorists. They’ve managed to make terrorism boring.

As James Lileks writes:

The words TERROR ALERT: HIGH on the TV crawl annoy me, because I’m not terrorized. I’m wary and pissed off, but I’m not terrorized.

Indeed. Read the whole thing.

IF GARY HART’S REMARKS were regarded by some as crypto-anti-semitism, then what about this comment reported in the Washington Post that the “Likudniks” in the Administration are running American foreign policy?

ABU HAMZA’S SON WAS ARRESTED trying to sneak back into the Finsbury Park mosque, where weapons and chemical-warfare suits were found recently. Zach Barbera wonders what he was sneaking back in for.

GENOCIDE AND THE STATE DEPARTMENT: Some thoughts, with links to the latest scholarship.

SAY, WHO DO YOU THINK THIS is talking about?

Another official circulated an internet page with a picture of M Chirac looking surprised. Captions were invited below. Among the more printable were: “Jacques Chirac works hard on his look of utter disbelief, preparing for the announcement of the discovery of weapons of mass destruction in liberated Iraq.”

Whoever could they mean?

UPDATE: In a related development, I certainly hope that today’s New York Post is widely distributed at the U.N.

HEH HEH.

UPDATE: Some related observations.

LOTS OF GOOD STUFF OVER AT SILENT RUNNING and Rantburg. Go see. And read this prediction by Steven Den Beste regarding how the war will go.

DIANE E. on Saturday’s protests in New York, and the plans of the usual idiots to ensure that they reflect badly on the antiwar movement.

THE VIEW FROM PRAGUE:

On the one hand the left espouses equal rights for women, minorities and homosexuals; it lauds free speech and a vibrant independent press as essentials of civil society. The left is a guardian of the separation of church and state and a watchdog of the judicial process. So it finds itself in diametrical opposition to the nature of most Arab societies. But in the wake of this opposition, the left simply sticks its head in the sand rather than confront the reality that as globalization integrates the world order ever closer, we are hurtling toward a clash of civilizations unless the world comes to some sort of agreement on universal values. The left has failed to say that it will not stand for the oppression of women, the vicious repression of human rights and suppression of democratic principles. The only thing it can articulate is a naive and dangerous blame-America-first rhetoric as the root of all problems in the world today.

This hypocrisy is at its zenith in the case of Iraq. For years the left criticized the UN sanctions against Iraq. These sanctions left the Iraqi population debased and demoralized, with dismal health care and a falling standard of living. Though this decay of Iraqi society was due explicitly to Saddam Hussein’s exploitation of the sanctions to enrich himself on the lucrative oil black market while he ignored the suffering of his own people, the left called the UN’s attempts to contain Hussein genocide. Now, as America moves toward confronting Iraq over its failure to disarm, those same voices from the left praise those sanctions, speaking about them with a degree of reverence as the most intrusive and effective sanctions in history.

Read the whole thing. It’s all the more impressive because the writer is no Bush fan.

MORE TROUBLE FOR SCHROEDER? Reader Casey Carrow emails from Mainz:

Thought I’d send you a photo panorama that you may be interested in seeing. It is a photo of an estimated 10,000 policemen and firemen in Mainz, Germany (where I live) demonstrating a recent proposal by the beloved Gerhard Schroeder that their retirement age be changed from 60 to 65. Rather than cheer and clap for their succession of speakers, they blew cheap plastic whistles that could be heard over two kilometers away!

Click on the picture for a larger image. Gee, you’d think Schroeder would try to distract people from stuff like this by ginning up some sort of phony foreign relations issue or something, wouldn’t you?

UPDATE: It’s not working. Heh.

THE EARTH FIRST! PROTEST AGAINST WAR that I reported below drew a spontaneous counterprotest, described by reader John Jenkins who was kind enough to send along a photo:

Thought you’d be interested – it appears that someone decided to “liberate” a half-dozen or so of the Earth First group’s NO WAR IN IRAQ signs that they had out today.

A few hours later, they were returned to their original locations, but with a few changes… This was done to the sounds of honking and cheering from many others in vehicles along Kingston Pike and down the ramp to Interstate 40. I saw much of this while driving by, and my friend was quick enough to get a picture of one of the signs.

Ordinarily I would disapprove of such behavior, but as Earth First! was willing to appropriate someone else’s sign for its protest, I guess this sort of turnabout counts as fair play.

THOMAS NEPHEW has changed his mind and come out in favor of war with Iraq.

GARY HART UPDATE: Jeralyn Merritt of Talkleft got an exclusive interview with Hart today, and reports on the controversy, and his response.

UPDATE: Here’s a rather more critical take, from NRO.

As I said on Hugh Hewitt’s radio show last night, I think that the “anti-semitism” issue is entirely bogus. A bigger question is whether Hart will be able to articulate a foreign policy that is different from the Administration’s, but not wimpish or overly idealistic. That’s possible — I could do it — but Hart hasn’t done it yet.

COLLIN MAY has advice for European leaders.

WHAT WILL FRANCE AND GERMANY SAY?

Japan has warned it would launch a pre-emptive military action against North Korea if it had firm evidence Pyongyang was planning a missile attack.

Defence Minister Shigeru Ishiba said it would be “a self-defence measure” if North Korea was going to “resort to arms against Japan”.

Mr Ishiba said it would be too late if a North Korean missile was already on its way.

Where are the condemnations of “unilateralism” and “preemption”?

CHRISTOPHER HITCHENS writes that the United Nations is playing Saddam’s game.

THE FOUNDATION FOR INDIVIDUAL RIGHTS IN EDUCATION reports that Shaw University has fired a professor, and evicted a student, for “disloyalty.”

WORRIED ABOUT A CHEMICAL ATTACK? Apparently, some people really are. Here’s an item that circulated a lot last year.

Meanwhile, here’s a column I wrote a while back on what you can do to protect yourself, and others.

UPDATE: Apparently, the story in the first link is bogus:

The reference to the accounting firm giving out survival kits is completely fabricated. You can see my email is at PwC also, and sitting in the office all day, all I got was free coffee.

Of course, this report could be bogus. Maybe the emailer is lying for fear that Tom Daschle will find out about the glowsticks and bottled water, and have ‘em prosecuted.

NOW IT’S OLIVER WILLIS WHO’S VLOGGING. The man was made for TV. This is more like radio-with-pictures, though. Somebody buy him a webcam.

HERE’S AN ARTICLE ON WEBLOGS, and here’s another.

NICK DENTON’S RESPONSE to the Columbia disaster? Militarize space.

He’s such a warmonger, our Nick.

THE SCOURGE OF RICHARD COHEN: No, it’s not Charles Austin this time, but Tony Adragna, who writes that Cohen selectively misquotes Osama.

HERE’S A U.S. NEWS & WORLD REPORT STORY on the John Lott affair, in which Lott comes off fairly well, though he does not emerge unscathed. Jacob Levy reports on an article in the Chronicle of Higher Education, too, but it’s subscriber-only on their website, and I couldn’t find it on Nexis; guess it’s not up yet. Meanwhile this somewhat snarky item from the Washington Post has garnered a number of letters (reproduced here) in support of Lott’s computer-crash story. Those have some probative value, though they don’t actually prove that he did the survey in question, of course — only that he’s telling the truth about the computer crash.

UPDATE: Ask and ye shall receive. Quite a few people emailed me copies of the Chronicle article. Nothing really new there, though it’s a good summary of the affair so far.

FROM THE MAILBAG (real mail, not email):

An AP-release appeared in today’s Memphis COMMERCIAL APPEAL newspaper entitled “UT’s InstaPundit.” You apparently are the essence of “political correctness.”

Yep, that’s me, buddy. PC all the way, and damn proud of it. The letter goes on to explain that I’m a tool of “international Jewry” and suggests that I’m getting rich off that. Alas, no. Sadly, the International Zionist Conspiracy doesn’t pay us politically-correct types like it used to.

Here’s the article that inspired this epistle.

IS SONY RUNNING ANTI-WAR ADS? That’s what EuroGamer reports. They’ve got a link to the (rather lame) ad, which you can see directly here.

UPDATE: A reader emails:

Preface here, I’m in the industry.

Honestly, I don’t know but I find it hard to believe that’s a real Sony ad. First, it’s shoddily produced. Second no fat logo with tag line. And the biggie, it’s political. Big companies always stay away from real controversy. (Companies often like trite controversy.)

Possible that it’s put out by a distributor. Let us know if you hear from Sony.

I will.

UPDATE: Here’s someone else who thinks it’s a fake, though also based only on supposition.

ANOTHER UPDATE: Reader Aaron Watson writes:

Another consideration: if the ad is faked, it could be someone at or connected to EuroGamer with an agenda, trying to further popularize the antiwar movement by getting a media source to report a falsehood like that.

Hmm. Well, being of the essence of political correctness myself, I guess I shouldn’t mind being used that way. . . .

YET ANOTHER UPDATE: Reader Michael Gebert writes:

As someone in the ad biz I can tell you that the boom in PC moviemaking has resulted in lots of fake ads using real product names. Some are done by creatives or production companies that want to show off what they could do on a real assignment, some are just parodies or amateurs screwing around. Lots of things about this spot, such as the deeply unfashionable font used for “No war, please” and the bad kerning (space between letters), suggest that it belongs to the “amateur-screwing-around” category.

Hmm. I took its general lameness as evidence of authenticity — most Euro-commercials seem that way to me.

A MAN WITH A GRENADE has been arrested at Gatwick airport in London. Official comment:

The home secretary’s spokesman said people should not “jump to conclusions” about the significance of the arrest.

“It is not uncommon for people in airports to be discovered with some form of weaponry. It doesn’t mean they are all al-Qaeda terrorists,” he said.

Well, that’s a relief.

UPDATE: Here’s another report. Note that both stories also say that two men were arrested at Heathrow in a separate incident. Coincidence? Most likely.

SEVERAL READERS report that they emailed Daimler-Chrysler to express their unhappiness with Gerhard Schroeder’s anti-American tilt. Here’s the rather unsatisfactory reply they’ve been getting:

Thank you for providing us with your thoughts on U.S./German relations.

We recognize your concerns, and assure you they are shared by all of us both here in the U.S. and at our headquarters in Germany.

You may be interested to know that during a speech to metalworking companies in Germany last year, Daimler Chrysler Chairman and CEO, Juergen Schrempp, expressed the following sentiments: “The USA and Germany have always been historically closely connected with each other both through trade and capital, as well as through culture and society. And, this I say as chairman of a German-American corporation — we will do everything to promote and foster this friendship.”

We apologize for any distress this situation causes and hope that you continue to look upon your Daimler-Chrysler ownership with pride.

I wonder how much they’re paying the PR genius who drafted this reply?

UPDATE: Eugene Volokh writes that this response is appropriately “mealy mouthed.” Well, it’s also ahistorical. The reference to the close connection between Germany and America omits important stuff like U-boats and B-24s. I don’t blame Daimler for not wanting to bring it up, but, well, they’ve brought up the history so now they look dishonest. In Bogart’s phrase, it’s “poor salesmanship.”

COMING SOON: A positive message from Germany.

ARMED LIBERAL is offering dating advice in observation of Valentine’s day. I think it’s good.

ANOTHER CHRISTO IMITATOR, but with a wartime theme. . . .

A LOT OF NEW TECHNOLOGY WILL BE UNVEILED in the coming war, but the people behind it are being secretive, as usual. I guess you can’t blame them — they don’t want the other side to get an advantage:

In the Gulf war 12 years ago, CNN trumped its rivals with a “four-wire” connection — a dedicated phone line that bypassed the central phone system, the only one that the Iraqi government permitted — that gave it audio contact as Baghdad was being bombed and others lost their standard phone lines.

What one network executive calls a “quantum leap” in technology since then has led to portable satellite dishes that promise viewers a closer, clearer, more immediate video look, not just audio, at any place a reporter goes. As recently as the conflict in Afghanistan, networks were largely limited to satellite video phones with jerky images.

The technology promises a different kind of armchair access for viewers at home to follow the conflict, with ramifications for how public opinion gets shaped.

But most network executives won’t talk about the developments except in the broadest terms to avoid revealing competitive information to their rivals.

Perhaps at the next Pentagon press conference, Rumsfeld should press them for details, then cry coverup if they won’t answer. . . .

A NOT-VERY-GENTLE OBITUARY for Ron Ziegler.

COLIN POWELL is getting tough:

“France and Germany are resisting,” he said. “They believe that more inspections, more time” should be allowed.

“The question I will put to them is: Why more inspections? And how much more time?” Powell said. “Or are you just delaying for the sake of delaying in order to get Saddam Hussein off the hook and no disarmament? That’s a challenge I will put to them.”

No more Mr. Nice Guy, apparently.

ERIC ALTERMAN, I should mention, has apologized for his remarks about Rush Limbaugh (scroll down). He also asks me if I “believe in the concept of ‘hate speech.’”

I’m tempted to answer, like the man asked about adult baptism, “Believe in it, hell — I’ve seen it done!”

I don’t believe that “hate speech” deserves special legal punishment, though, if that’s the question. I regard “hate speech” as a descriptive term, not a special offense. Wishing for someone’s career to be ended by disability is fairly hateful, and “offensive remarks” that are “based on a disability” would be punishable hate speech in most of those places that forbid it. Though they probably would make an exception where the target is a right-wing talk show host. . . .

But anyone can make a thoughtless remark in an interview, and Alterman’s prompt apology does him credit.

UPDATE: Not everyone agrees.

THE LOCAL CHAPTER OF EARTH FIRST! has partially covered a billboard for “Hooters” with this sign reading “Frodo Has Failed — Bush Has The Ring.” (A couple of them — looking very chilly — are “occupying” the sign, as you may be able to make out on the lower right. And yes, this is actual, firsthand photojournalism here on InstaPundit.)

Interviewed by local radio station WIVK, a spokeswoman for the group said that they were demonstrating true patriotism by putting the First Amendment into practice. Well, by that logic, so were the Nazis at Skokie, but never mind.

It’s easy to understand why Earth First! — which has an all-too-comfortable relationship with terrorism itself — might oppose a war on terrorism. You’d think, though, that Saddam Hussein’s ecological record, which includes firing the Kuwaiti oil fields and wholesale environmental destruction (“ecocide”) in the war against the “Marsh Arabs,” would be a target that even Earth First! would like to see bullseyed.

But, of course, you’d be wrong about that. Because to them, like so much of what styles itself the “antiwar” movement, it’s not really about the war at all. It’s all about Bush.

UPDATE: Several readers point out that in exercising their “free speech” rights, the Earth First! folks are covering up Hooters’ message, which Hooters is actually paying to present. Yeah. I don’t think Earth First! worries about that sort of thing much.

ANOTHER UPDATE: H.D. Miller seems to think I’m calling the Earth Firsters Nazis with the Skokie reference above. I wasn’t, but if he’s confused others might be, since he’s pretty smart. I was reacting to the dumb notion that speech is, in and of itself and independent of its content, patriotic. If it is, then Nazis are patriotic when they march. Got it?

I’VE READ AUSTIN BAY’S NOVEL, The Wrong Side of Brightness, in manuscript. I liked it a lot. You can read the first chapter here. It’ll be out soon.

SYLVAIN GALINEAU has some thoughts on American imperialism.

MICKEY KAUS:

If Osama bin Laden were dead and buried under the rubble in Tora Bora, and you were working in the al Qaeda public affairs shop, you might want to fake a few pungent posthumous proclamations before you had him, conveniently, predict his own demise. …

Yeah. I could be wrong, I suppose, but I don’t believe he’s alive. Where’s the video? Where — as someone mentioned — was the gloating over the loss of a space shuttle with an Israeli astronaut on board?

I’ve been meaning to do a longer post on this, but I’ve been busier than usual this week. Maybe later.

SEVERAL PEOPLE HAVE EMAILED to ask if I prefer donations via Amazon, or PayPal. Frankly, I’m just tickled that anyone would ever want to donate, period. All things equal, PayPal is better, as they take less of a cut. But I’m not choosy.

DEMOCRATS THREATEN RACIST FILIBUSTER! That’s the message of this commercial on the Estrada nomination, anyway. Hmm. And just as the controversy over Russell Long heats up.

I sense a disturbance in the Force, one that I have not felt since, well, the last time Karl Rove pulled one of these sucker-punch operations.

VIRGINIA POSTREL says that the Hart anti-semitism charges mentioned below are silly.

BETTER LATE THAN NEVER: Here’s a link to this week’s Carnival of the Vanities.

BELGIAN UNILATERALISM — and imperialism, too.

FRANCE UNITES BRITAIN!

For the first time in the build-up to action against Iraq, the newspapers of the Anglosphere are united in a blizzard of abuse against the French. In Paris, Le Monde has finally been obliged to translate Bart Simpson’s phrase that is now on everyone’s lips.

The French, say the mass-circulation papers in Britain and America, are nothing but “cheese-eating surrender monkeys” (les primates capitulards toujours en quete de fromage), and, you know what, I couldn’t agree more. . . .

It does not mean the end of Nato. It does not even mean the end of the attempts to construct a Heath Robinson-style European “Common Foreign and Security Policy”. But are we really going to share a single constitution with France and Germany, of a kind now being drawn up by Giscard in Brussels? And will Blair really try to push that through without holding a referendum?

I am told that the Prime Minister is so keen on the euro that he was considering sacking the Chancellor in 2004, and holding it then. Has that ambition survived this week? Is Blair really still asking us to share a currency with this lot? Mangez mes culottes, as they are by now saying in Paris.

Er, only it’s Groundskeeper Willie, not Bart Simpson. The man ain’t got no culture. But it’s all right. . . .

A JACKSONIAN MOMENT? Michael Barone emails:

I was just reading InstaPundit tonight when I remembered one of the great Jacksonian moments in American history. If you listen to the audio tape of Franklin Roosevelt’s speech to Congress December 8, 1941, you will notice that the biggest applause–not just applause, but wild raucous cheers–comes after this line.

“No matter how long it may take us to overcome this premeditated invasion, the American people in their righteous might will win through to absolute victory.”

It is, I think a beautiful piece of writing, drafted by Roosevelt himself–more proof that, whatever his faults, he was a great man. “The American people”: not the government, not the armed forces, not the leadership, the American people. “In their righteous might”: here Roosevelt weaves together by internal rhyme the idea that we are strong and we are good. “Will win through to absolute victory.”

The historians debate when the United States and their allies became committed to unconditional surrender. But after these words, how could America have settled for anything else? Roosevelt knew what had followed the ambiguous victory of November 1918, and wanted to make sure that nothing like that ever happened again. And he did so in just a few words.

I wonder if anyone in France called him a “cowboy?”

ANOTHER SMOKING GUN — AND THIS ONE’S A DOOZY:

THE chief United Nations weapons inspector will report tomorrow that Iraq has been developing a ballistic missile that is in clear violation of UN restrictions.

The discovery of a banned weapons system on the eve of Hans Blix’s crucial presentation is tantamount to the inspectors finding a “smoking gun” — even though it was declared by Iraq to the UN as a legal programme.

Diplomats said the announcement would strengthen London and Washington’s case that Iraq was in “material breach” of UN demands and help the two allies to win support within the Security Council for a new resolution authorising the use of force.

The finding is also certain to provoke a confrontation when inspectors ask the Iraqi armed forces to surrender the banned missiles for destruction just as the country is preparing for an American attack. . . .

Before making a final decision on whether the missiles contravened UN rules, Dr Blix convened a meeting of outside missile experts from Britain, China, France, Ukraine, Germany and the US on Monday and Tuesday. Diplomatic sources said that those experts determined that the al-Samoud 2 exceeded the 150km range, but that the capability of the al-Fatah remained an “open question”.

The experts also judged Iraq to be in violation of UN rules for repairing banned casting chambers for making illegal missiles and for building a new test stand that can test missile engines five times above the permitted thrust.

These things just keep turning up.

UPDATE: This Reuters story says that Russia and Iraq are calling this a mere technicality.

It also says that “In connection with the missiles, Iraq had imported 380 rocket engines, chemicals used in propellants, test instrumentation and guidance and control instruments — all forbidden under 12-year-old U.N. sanctions imposed after Baghdad invaded neighboring Kuwait, the U.N. arms experts reported.”

The story neglects to mention the source of these illegally imported rocket engines, chemicals, etc. I have a suspicion, though. . . .

DR. MANHATTAN HAS A THEORY about the terror alerts.

HEH.

GO READ LILEKS. He makes me proud to own a Dell.

MORE FROM THE FRANCO-AMERICAN STREET: This letter in the New York Post:

February 11, 2003 — As I opened my Post this morning, the anger I’ve felt over these past few weeks reached a total rage when I read Steve Dunleavy’s column from Normandy (“Sacrifice,” Feb. 10).

I was born in France, married my wonderful American husband of 41 years in Paris, came to the United States in 1963 and became an American citizen.

France can now disappear into the ocean as far as I’m concerned.

Claudette Davison

I’m also very proud of you folks: I used the word “Franco-American” and didn’t get a single email about Spaghetti-O’s.

INTERESTING COLUMBIA DISCUSSION here. Scroll down to near the bottom for a plausible conclusion.

SOMEBODY JUST SHOWED JACQUES CHIRAC SOME WEBLOGS.

If you’ve got another suggested caption, enter it in the comments, below.

UPDATE: Boy, the comments are rolling in. My favorite so far: “You mean Joe isn’t a millionaire!?”

ANOTHER UPDATE: Other people are having fun with this photo here.

Heh. It took me a minute to get this one.

“NO OIL FOR PACIFISTS” — Heh.

PEOPLE LIKE TO ACCUSE AMERICANS of not knowing much about the rest of the world. But here’s a column in The Guardian calling Rep. Peter King “Senator Pete King.” It’s especially lame as the author, Rod Liddle, purports to have been following King’s activities for 15 years.