September 29, 2012
IT AIN’T OVER ‘TIL IT’S OVER: Pete Dupont points out in the WSJ something the mainstream media and many inside-the-beltway old school Republicans will not:
In spite of what some of the pundits are saying, this election is not over, and it is very difficult now to be sure who will win the race on Nov. 6. To begin with, the polls seem to show a good bit of volatility. According to Rasmussen Reports, which unlike many other analysts has tracked likely voters instead of registered ones, has gone from Mr. Obama up by two in August, to up by five in early September to a tie in late September. Gallup was plus-one for Mr. Romney in mid-August, plus-seven for Mr. Obama in early September, and plus-three for Mr. Obama in mid-September. In short, each candidate is holding 45% to 47% of the votes with roughly 6% to 10% undecided.
It ain’t over’til it’s over, folks. Turnout is the key.