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June 04, 2008
POLITICO: Exit polls show challenge for Obama: "On the night that Barack Obama clinched his party's nomination, one-third of Hillary Clinton's supporters in Montana and South Dakota said they would not vote for the presumptive Democratic nominee." Most people who feel this way will change their mind by November, but the election hangs on just how many constitute "most."
UPDATE: Link was wrong before. Fixed now. Sorry!