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Enter the Pros

July 31, 2009 - 9:19 am - by edgelings
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ENTER THE PROS  By Michael S. Malone

The new Yahoo-Microsoft ten year deal — by which Yahoo will adopt the MS Bing search engine and Microsoft will take over the global selling of premium search advertising for both companies – is a reminder of what veteran business professionals can accomplish . . .especially in desperation.

 

In case you’ve lost track of the byzantine history of the negotiations between these two companies, here’s a quick summary:

In February 2008, Microsoft finally faced the reality that, at number 3 in Internet search, it was going to lose the race to dominate the multi-billion dollar search engine business to Google, the latter having run up a nearly 80 percent market share. In what appeared to be one final shot at staying in the game – and perhaps betting, not without reason, that a high-flying youngster like Google might stumble – Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer decided to make a run at buying the third player in the search game, struggling Yahoo!, the distant number 2 company in search. Microsoft had tried to buy Yahoo several times in the previous years, but now it went for a hostile takeover.

The strategy was met with mixed reviews by industry insiders. On the one hand, it was an unexpectedly bold play by Microsoft, a company long since written off as too big, too old and too slow to effectively compete in the fast-moving 21st century tech world. Its bid for Yahoo showed the world that Ballmer & Co. were still willing to think big, and not just collect royalties on Windows and MS Office. Further, with the economy still strong and with a lot of cash on hand, buying Yahoo also seemed like a fairly safe play: at worst, given the enduring loyalty of several hundred million regular Yahoo users, it would simply be buying safe added market share in the search business.

On the other hand, the offer price – it reached more than $45 billion – was shocking. After all, Microsoft and Yahoo were trailing so far behind Google for a reason: their search products just weren’t that good, and Google had brilliantly captured the Zeitgeist of the era. So, the odds that bolting two losers together would create a winner were slim to none, even if Google did manage to slip up.

And that bleak analysis didn’t even take into account the merger process itself. How exactly would you meld Microsoft (insular, arrogant, most of its old entrepreneurial fervor long gone) with Yahoo (maverick, dispirited, bleeding top talent from every door)?

That second question never got answered because, to the business world’s astonishment, Yahoo decided to fight the takeover. In Silicon Valley’s long, checkered history of dumb executive decisions, this one may prove the dumbest of all. And it will long be debated just why Yahoo said no to such a fortune.

The most likely answer, I think, was a combination of an executive row in transition and entrepreneur with misplaced loyalties. Months before, Chairman/CEO Terry Semel had been booted from the top of Yahoo. Semel was a competent, nuts-and-bolts former Hollywood studio boss who had turned around a troubled Yahoo six years earlier and then successfully ridden the Internet boom. But he had been without technological vision (indeed, he had never surfed the Net before taking over Yahoo) and so, as the tech world moved on, Yahoo peaked and then went into a long slow glide towards inconsequentiality.

 

That lazy death spiral had gotten Semel fired, but it looked positively appealing in light of what followed.

One thing you could never accuse Semel of was sentimentality about Yahoo: the fact that he continued to live in LA while running a Northern California company was proof of that. So you can only assume that had he been in the cockpit when an unfriendly Microsoft came calling that last time, he would have made one quick counteroffer to test Ballmer’s intent . . .and then taken the deal. Today he would be a hero to Yahoo shareholders everywhere.

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6 Comments, 6 Threads, 1 Trackbacks

  1. 1. john

    That’s silly. Microsoft never really wanted to buy yahoo, they just needed to drop msft stock to buy a bunch of it back, then break the “deal” and restore the stock to where it has been before.

    The reason they needed it was because a bunch of high ranking executives were due to a big stock vesting.

  2. 2. Calvin Ball

    It’s going to take a lot more than this to be relevant. As you suggested, their only hope is for Google to trip on their own underwear.

  3. 3. Whitehall

    “Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before a fall.”

    While I have no current plans to stop using Google, I know pride and a haughty spirit when I see it. The leaders hang with politicos, looking for angles and rents to seek. Their pages have paid advertising pushing out customer service and propaganda poising as information.

    Google will crash and burn soon enough.

    Microsoft is no longer a high flyer – it is an infrastructure company, much like your water company or your electric power provider. Like an infrastructure company, it is something of a natural monopoly and with monopoly comes arrogance. People in my office complain about “Bing” or “Ping” muscling onto their desktop unbidden. That’s rude!

    Unfortunately, both companies have more cash than they know how to constructively invest so they waste it.

    So sad…. but entertaining.

  4. 4. Delia

    The only thing I use Yahoo for is free email [I gave up on their chat program a couple years ago because it was a nuisance].

    I could give up the free email this instant though…big whoop. I don’t need ‘em.

  5. 5. newscaper

    Yes, a company’s founders often have blind spots down the road, and their directors give them too much rope. Been there, done that — anybody remember QMS?

    But your appreciation of ‘pros’ here sounds like somewhat like the analysts going gaga over ‘Chainsaw Al’, who used highly destructive measures to get temporary boosts in shareholder value that mainly helped speculators.

  6. 6. marie

    I don’t care about the details of the deal. I can already search on Yahoo and Bing at the same time. It’s called http://www.dogreatgood.com. You also get Google and Ask and they donate to charities like the humane society and petfinder.

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