I have said for quite some time that Obama can not win, McCain has to loose for him to be President.
Obama seemed to get this in the primaries – same thing there. When he keeps his mouth shut and stands back people paint whatever they want on him. When he tries to win he is, well, horrid. Hillary ran a terrible campaign (however I don’t see how she could have really done better – the attacks McCain can do and get away with she could not as the people he looses were never going to vote for him anyway) and lost – Obama didn’t win. Heck, even if the Dems had a sane electoral system she would have won by a landslide, had they mirrored the national system it would have been an even larger margin.
Obama is trying to win and he can not – he has bought into the hype about himself. The more he tries to do so the worse he is going to do. I still do not discount the idea that McCain will not do something(s) that make him loose it – I have all confidence that he is able to do so. However I don’t think Obama now has it in him to let McCain do so and that will be our saving graze (and given what I think about McCain, that’s not much grace anyway).
Another way I have heard it put is that Obama is wreck waiting to happen – the question is does it happen before or after the elections (or a few months back before the primaries are over)? A few pundits are beginning to realize this – they aren’t stupid. There comes a point where there is no amount of rationalization that can occur that the inevitable death is going to be avoided – the more honest the person is with their own thoughts the earlier they see it. It’s too late for any of the truly honest people, it now just a matter of when they realize the inevitable (and then work to make McCain loose – some have seen it but aren’t admitting it too).
