A Comment About

Egypt: Three Possible Outcomes

January 29, 2011 - 3:29 pm - by Barry Rubin
DangerGirl
2011-01-31 20:48:26

Way to manipulate the results of the Pew Survey, Barry. No Bias on your end, huh!

When asked for their views about democracy, majorities in most of the Muslim communities surveyed say that democracy is preferable to any other kind of government.

More than nine-in-ten (94%) Muslims in Lebanon express negative opinions of al Qaeda, as do majorities of Muslims in Turkey (74%), Egypt (72%). And to be fair Bine Laden doesn’t think to highly of the Muslim Brotherhood. He thinks they are too soft and considers them puppets of both the Mubarak and US gov’t.

30% of Muslims in Egypt, and even fewer (5%) in Turkey, offer favorable views of Hezbollah, the Lebanon-based organization. Hezbollah receives its most positive ratings in Jordan, where 55% of Muslims have a favorable view; AND Jordanian Muslims express the most support of Hamas – 60% have a favorable view of Hamas – while Muslims in Turkey offer the least positive ratings (9% favorable and 67% unfavorable). Opinions of Hamas are nearly evenly split in Egypt and Lebanon.

*Personal observation—I would be FAR more worried about Jordanians support of Hamas & Hezbollah which in both cases exceeds that of Egypt*

ONLY In Jordan and Egypt do majorities of Muslims say there is NO struggle between modernizers and Islamic fundamentalists in their countries. About seven-in-ten (72%) Jordanian Muslims and 61% of Egyptian Muslims offer this opinion; just 20% and 31%, respectively, see a struggle in their countries.

So -of those 31% of Muslims who see a struggle in Egypt – slightly more than half of them identify with Islamic fundamentalists. 58% OF 31% identify with Islamic Fundamentalists. Wow. You ‘re so right — there is SUCH major concern about Egyptians embracing radical fundamentalist Islam.

There are more Christian fundamentalists in the US, then Muslim Fundamentalists in Egypt and MORE Fundamentalists in IRAQ then in Egypt.

The fragile experiment in Iraq & has a far greater chance of turning the gov’t of Iraq into a fundamentalist regime than Egypt will.
Now there’s a reality that few Americans will ever admit!. OMG! how can it be!! After all WE set the Iraqis free. WE have won over the hearts and minds of Iraqis. WE have shown them a better alternative to Saddam. When the American Military initiates a regime change in an Arab nation then it could NEVER become an Islamist state like Iran. But when the Egyptians– on their own– initiate a regime change then by god the MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD WILL TAKE OVER AND CREATE AN ISLAMIST NATION!

Instead of worrying about a Muslim Brotherhood that has less than 20% support from Egyptians and that won’t dare flex its fundamentalist muscle in a land where an uprising of this magnitude has just occurred and will- in short time- have overthrown a 30 yr dictatorship without the intervention of the American or British Military or the use of the Egyptian Military – you’d be far wiser to be far more deeply concerned about Iraq.