“The new regime turns against the West, tears up the peace treaty with Israel (in practice if not formally), and joins hands with Hamas. Iranian influence isn’t important with this regime, but that will be small comfort as it launches its own subversive efforts and even goes to war against Israel at some point in the future. This will be the biggest disaster for the region and the West since the Iranian revolution 30 years ago. And in some ways it will be worse.”
This AND the closing of the Suez Canal would be the worse possible outcome of this uprising. If the Islamists take over and the peace treaty with Israel is abandoned (which it most certainly will, especially if the new regime models itself after Hamas), there will be a new arab-Israeli war in a few years, if not sooner. Jordan will also probably be the next monarchy to fall too, allowing the Palestinians there to take over like Hamas did in Gaza. Israel will be surrounded once again and will face an invasion from all sides, only this time the Egyptians will be armed with modern American weapons thanks to all of the foreign aid the United States has been giving it over the years. And remember, this time around the Islamists will NOT give up like Sadat did. They will continue fighting until either Israel or Egypt itself is destroyed. That’s what religious fanatics do.
