stephen grabe
2006-10-20 17:18:02

1- if you accept the mean number of deaths from the 2004 lancet article than >26,000 per month have died since then. This sounds a bit over the top!
2- i would think that the death rate in the kurdish areas would be less than in the sunni areas;
3- i have been in contact with a scientist in basrah since 1992; my impression from his emails are that in iraqs 2nd largest city many of the deaths are TARGETTED ASSASSINATIONS– not the multiple deaths we see in the midddle of Iraq.
4- if the kurdish and basrah areas are experiencing less deaths than the sunni areas than deaths in sunni areas since 2004 should vastly exceed 26,000 per month. This really sounds unreasonable to me!!!