Whoa.
I checked out those iran resistance sites kabud. Personally, I think the biggest block to an action against Iran is probably (1) European intransigence, and (2) Chinese investment – and I just don’t see how the people of Iran can be relied upon to rise. I agree with you that the Revolutionary Guard, KGB-style, will make it difficult in the media; also, it’s not clear to me what shape they’re in to fight. Of course, we hear lots of things about Iranian air defenses imported from Russia – but then we have the recent example of the Israeli airstrike against the Syrian-NK facility, where Russian air defenses apparently did not help them much.
But then, of course, the problem is that we really don’t have the information we’d like to have, since here we are, just civilians at our computers.
The problem is I don’t see how allowing Iran to have domestic nuclear weapons production capability and nuclear weapons themselves will result in a better situation than one in which we go to war with them in one way or another. A nuclear Iran panics the Arabs and removes any reluctance on their part from having them – we’ve already had to acquiesce to Abdullah’s request for nuclear energy technology assistance, which is obviously an absurd proposition except from the point of view that perhaps he extracted it from us in order to communicate to the USA that if Iran went nuclear then so would Saudi Arabia, just as they will match Iran’s “peaceful” nuclear program.
The basic problem with the Left’s position is that it leaves out entirely the character of the Iranian regime and the well-known and well-advertised links with Hezbollah – which just, by the way, effectively took over Lebanon. We know from the 9/11 report that Iran has connections with al Qaeda; we know Qods Force are in Iran.
Geostrategically, the whole point is to deprive the Moscow-Beijing axis of this strategic soft underbelly to manipulate. For this we probably have to take over these states. Or else I think we should give up hope, unless there is some collection of groups that really is capable, with US money and support, of whipping up the Iranians into a force capable of overwhelming the Mullahs. I just don’t see it. Of course, who knows? I’m not in Iran, and they have strict media control. But a student rising here, and a bomb there, a Baloch independence militia over there, some Arabs in the Southwest provinces tired of Persian dominance – can these add up to a revolt or revolution?
As Bezmenov says, “there are no grass-roots revolutions period. Every revolution is a product of a highly organized and professional group – it has nothing to do with grassroots.” Probably the case in Iran, or so it seems to this American voter.
