The Battle for the Hormuz Straits will block tanker traffic for one to six months. US boots on the ground in Iran, at least locally, will likely be required to suppress anti-ship missile batteries and prevent resupply.
Iranian missiles will reach the cities and industrial installations of our allies around the Gulf. Will biological weapons be used by the Iranians?
Their military will be defeated. The theocracy will be shaken but will it be replaced?
A proper military analysis might refine these numbers but there definitely will be profound global economic impact lasting a year or more.
We’ll wish that Congress had continued to fill our SPR.





