No question that Obama is favored to win, no question at all. It is interesting to site the wrong track/right track numbers but I do not agree that these directly reflect the fortunes of McCain vs. Obama. The fact that McCain is within 5 to 7 pts of Obama in national polls showing his ‘bounce’ and with an effective tie in the electoral college with the recession, housing collapse, jobless rate going up, and gas prices going through the roof, demonstrates either McCain’s strength or Obama’s weakness. I suspect both are true.
Yes, McCain is in the game when any other Republican wouldn’t be. If Romney, Thompson, or Huckabee were the nominees’s each would be down vs. Obama by 15 to 20pts. So McCain is different – he is in the game against a rookie running for President. I’m willing to put my marker down on the old guy’s chances – I think he has one more miracle in him.
