TomJW
2008-06-12 05:34:36
Too much is still up in the air.
Right now, the Clinton crowd is disgruntled with Obama. If the they have a change of heart by November, then it doesn’t matter how they felt today.
McCain has pushed many conservatives right out of the party. Independant conservatives don’t care for him either. Obama’s weaknesses may force them to vote McCain though.
After convention time, in October, there will be a better picture of how the vote will turnout. Then it will be a state by state case. Total Electorial College numbers count. Obama knew this when going after delegates in the caucas states. Still, he didn’t win the big states.
