Fresh Air
2010-06-14 10:52:41
I’m not satisfied that this robo-poll has enough validity. The methodology is new and not refined yet, as witnessed by the inaccurate polls CrossTarget did on the Mass. Senate race earlier this year. That said, I do think there is a significant swing both in identifying Republicans and more importantly, in disaffected Democrats.
If the GOP is at or near parity in California (a swing of nearly plus-10), then every state race in the country, save perhaps Vermont, is in play this year. Practically, what this means is that Wisconsin and Washington should be considered toss-ups, if not “lean Republican” at this point. It also means an epic wipeout for the 48 Congresscritters in districts carried by McCain.
