Vanessa
2008-06-07 13:30:41

Buckeye Tom-
I think about 2/3 of those 18 million will dutifully pull the lever for Obama in November. (of course, if people like Bill continue to attack Clinton with rabid raccoon viciousness… we’ll see).

However, I DO believe that the Democrats think they have a slam-dunk lock on this thing with Mr. Hope and Change.

Not so fast.

Much buyer remorse from Independents who voted for Obama in the earlier races. And the fact is, McCain gets plenty of respect from moderates on both sides for his record. My (informal) sense of voter sentiment is that McCain = Bush isn’t really taking hold. And if McCain is able to find the right message on the economy and the war (he’s already talking drawdown and increasing pressure on the Iraq government to take over), he has a very real chance of entering the Oval Office on Jan 20, 2009. Plus, he has immediate family in active duty service. So the “he doesn’t care if our sons and daughters get killed” line isn’t really going to play in Peoria.

I DO believe the general will be close. And that the 1/3 of disillusioned Democrats and unknown number of Independents who now feel they were sold a bill of goods are going to make the difference between who wins and who loses. And I also believe that McCain has as good a chance of scooping those voters up, as does Obama.

People like Bill don’t like to hear that. And their response is to sling insults. Which really isn’t winning them any fans…