The general scenarios sketched out here are what I expected to happen almost immediately after Obama took office. (I thought it might be PRC vs Taiwan first, but that might come second.) I knew he would be a disaster as a president, but I’ve been surprised that global adversaries have given him this much of a honeymoon.
Perhaps they perceived that a challenge from abroad would solidify his support at home, and they are acting now because they expect he won’t be a significant factor much longer. Hard to second-guess their motivations. Unfortunately, it’s also hard to say how much the average American will care.





