Richard: “Your objection is an error. It is not “alarmism” to state why the shout of “Fire!” is harmful…”
My objection is to the alarmism of shouting genocide.
“But , no, I AM NOT, YOU ARE.”
No need to shout. I take your point that ENSO-type events are short-term climate phenomena. But my original point holds that the main climate models are concerned with long-term warming, not the short-term effects of re-distribution, although it seems that studies are turning in the direction of these shorter term phenomena.
“(Your complaint is an example of a call for political correctness that always occurs when the ‘beliefs’ of AGW advocates are mentioned, but AGW advocates rain defamations, insults and abuse on climate realists; e.g. see this forum.)”
Sure, let’s look at this forum. A representative sample of, er , strong words: “non stop brain washing; purveyors of junk science or lunatic death cult worshippers; anthropogenic contribution is nonsense and a hoax; time to put the enviro-wacos in their place; hoax that was global warming; time will reveal the ulterior motives of those who have tried to hoodwink we common “folk.”; you have been brainwashed; angry and nasty like petulant children; the hysteria; looking like an idiot; what a bunch of suckers; scum; idiots…pornography addiction…shut up; junk stats from the global warming alarmists; GW scaremongers are religious fanatics; you dunce; GW zealots; outright lies made by the GW crowd; global Warming is an animist nature worshipping religion.”
All from the sceptic crowd. So it goes both ways. It’s not “politically correct” to point out that abuse from all sides is a fact of web life. Unless you are arguing that only sceptics should be able to tell it the way they think it is.
“No actuary behaves in that way because the complexity of such a model is very unlikely to provide a correct forecast. But that is what GCMs are constructed to do. And, attempt to make regional climate forecasts is very precisely analogous to trying to do that.”
Forecasting regional climate scenarios is analogous to forecasting regional population data, not the specific details of individuals. And researchers do forecast regional population data, but of course make no predictions about specific individuals within a region.
“But it is a fact proven in a UK Court that Al Gore in his film titled “An Inconvenient Truth” presents a series of lies.”
I’ll wrap up now, but point out that what the judge called Gores “errors” were compared against mainstream climate science and IPCC scenarios. So it looks like even the proponents of AGW can be held accountable to what is in effect the gold standard: global warming theory.
