A Comment About

Global Warming: Mostly Hot Air

May 14, 2008 - 12:50 am - by Mike McNally
Anna Keppa
2008-05-19 21:27:36

A major objection to an otherwise excellent article:

“In February of this year a raft of data from the leading monitoring centers showed that average global temperatures [for 2006] had fallen by around 0.65º C, effectively canceling out the recent 30-year warming trend and leaving the Earth’s temperature close to what the alarmists would consider “normal.”

BLOODY NONSENSE!

The scientist who reported the 2006 downturn disavowed the “canceled out” carp, which was likely inserted by an innumerate “science writer”.

A 30-year warming TREND, recorded as a change in an HISTORICAL AVERAGE, is not “canceled out” by a SINGLE year’s data, certainly not by one with a deviation of this magnitude!

One year’s data may alter the trend line downwards. But unless that one number is extraordinarily small it doesn’t “wipe out” the trend. And even if it were to, statisticians would look to data in ensuing years for evidence that the new low was NOT an anomaly.

If the price of an average $300K house (is there such a thing?) in San Francisco has been rising 10% a year for ten years, does even a 50% fall THIS YEAR “cancel out” all that appreciation??

NO.

Do the math.

Then ask yourself: what if 2007′s temperature proves to be as much an upward deviation from the historical trend as 2006′s was below it:

Would that indicate that the historical 0.7 upward trend “canceled out” by the 2006 data be reinstated?

You down wiffat?

We have MUCH stronger arguments to use against the Global Warming zealots. Let’s use them, not mindlessly repeat innumerate bullshyt!!