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venividivici says (#20) that, “all the US right has to really do is wait out the clock.” I almost thought I would blow my lunch on that one! Either he is delusional or ignorant. Actually, that’s all the American left has to do with regard to demographics is wait out the clock. The conservative base is declining. Old white conservatives are dying off. As they die off they are being systematically replaced one by one with energetic young liberals and people of color (who can still reproduce). That’s not an opinion but a demographic fact.
First, you make two assumptions. That the country is getting younger. Not so. The median age in the US (and the entire Western world) is climbing. I don’t know what definition of “fact” you’ve been using all your life, but it’s the wrong one.
http://usgovinfo.about.com/library/weekly/aa051801a.htm
I suspect the 2010 Census will show another rise to a new record. So long as that median age is climbing, the median voter is getting older, i.e. more conservative.
Secondly, you assume that by the time non-whites come to be the dominant demographic, some time in the late part of the 21st century, the welfare/entitlement state won’t have collapsed. Not so, it will already have done its version of “Humpty Dumpty” and all the non-whites’ in the world will be able to put it back together again. In fact, non-whites will probably be one of the most conservative/small government groups out there, especially Hispanics. Why? Because most entitlement spending benefits the old (who will be white Baby Boomers) at the expense of the young (who will be Hispanic). Plus, with the Boomers out of their producing years and into their consuming years, there won’t be as many whites to support the entitlement payments or transfer payments from worker age person to worker age person. So, rather than using racial guilt to prompt white to support those programs, those non-whites will just be taking money from successful non-whites and putting it into the pockets of unsuccessful non-whites via the Federal government. Somehow, that strikes me as something the successful non-whites won’t like. That is just basic human nature, having nothing to do with race. They’ll have an even worse problem in Europe, where the younger Muslim population will feel little impetus to support the promises made to the dying native population.
As you can see, I’m neither delusional nor ignorant. I simply don’t analyze things in the same simplistic terms you do.
