Mike
2008-05-04 21:56:20
The problem here is that you fail to acknowledge that a win for Clinton, if less than double digits, is really a win for Obama. At this point in the race, if Clinton and Obama merely split the rest of the pledged delegates, she must win 73% (read an impossible number) of the remaining super delegates. If she wins 60% of the remaining super delegates, she must win the remaining primaries and pledged delegates by a margin of more than 19%. And if she and Obama split the super delegates, that required margin becomes 33%. If you can think of some other situation I would be glad to run the numbers and see if it works.
