A Comment About

Hillary Stays Alive

April 23, 2008 - 12:29 am - by Rick Moran
aroth
2008-04-23 10:29:20

Hillary DID NOT score a 10 point victory. Do the math:

– With 99% of precincts reporting, there are 2,300,851 votes that have been tallied.

– Clinton has 1,258,278 of those, or 54.7% (actually slightly less than that, I rounded up).

– Obama has 1,042,573 votes, or 45.3% (actually slightly more than that, I rounded down).

– 54.7 – 45.3 = 9.4%, so Hillary leads by (at most, due to the rounding noted above)9.4%, not 10%. If you round it to thew nearest whole percent, then she only won by 9%.

– The remaining 1% of the vote that is yet to be reported comes from Delaware and Philadelphia counties, where Obama beat Clinton by wide margins, so it will only serve to narrow Clinton’s margin of victory.

…so let’s do a little more math, and see what happens if the remaining 1% splits for Obama 60/40:

– There should be roughly 15,000 votes outstanding, which at a 60/40 split gives 9,000 to Obama, and 4,000 to Clinton.

– The new totals are 2,315,851 total votes, 1,264,278 Clinton votes (54.6%), and 1,051,573 Obama votes (45.4%).

– Clinton’s new lead is 9.2% (54.6 – 45.4 = 9.2).

9.2 % is not 10%. 9.4% is not 10%. Clinton did not win by 10%, and she did not win by “double digits”.