GK
2008-02-17 14:20:15
It is amazing that Democrats only got 41% of the white vote in 2004. Thus, the Democrat voter base draws on just two pillars, the loss of either of which will finish them.
1) Blacks : Blacks vote 90/10 for Democrats. If just 15% switched over to make in 75/25, Democrats are finished.
2) Mexicans in California : Note that I don’t simply use the broad term of ‘Hispanics’, they are NOT homogenous.
California was a GOP state as recently as 1988. Without the Mexican vote in CA, CA would become a swing state again, as would the huge total of 55 EVs.
If the GOP can chip away at either of these two pillars, the Dems are finished.
