Actually, David, the “Bradley factor” has nothing to do with me, as the other guy is my cousin and this particular Bradley, Tom Bradley, is a guy for whom I was the opposition research guy.
But things get confusing in ideological politics.
The “Bradley factor” refers to people pretending they will vote for a black guy and secretly voting against him, as happened with Tom Bradley’s 1982 California gubernatorial campaign, in which the Field exit poll showed him winning by 10, yet he actually lost.
It may be that Obama would lose to John McCain, someone who I know and like. Because McCain, too, appeals to independents and moderates.
But you were yammering away against McCain, on my site and elsewhere, not that long ago.
Had the far right choices for president won the nomination, the outcome in November would not be at all in question.
>David Thomson :
“Also look for the “Bradley factor” if Obama gets the nomination.”
Bill Bradley is simply wrong to think only the “far right” is concerned about the Obama phenomenon. The reality is that the middle of the road voters will ultimately be the ones to reject him. Conservative voters only represent about 40% of the electorate. You still need to add another 10.00001% to win on election day.
Feb 15, 2008 12:44 PM
