I have been tossing around all of these ideas on Iran lately. From what I have read, Iran will be pushing it to even build one bomb.
(1) If they do manage to get one to blow up on cue (preferred) or accidentally, they will be starting over on building more. That is assuming they try a test detonation to prove their design. Project Manhattan had a few duds before they worked the kinks out.
(2) If they can build another bomb, assuming a good test, we will all know. If they fire another rocket into space with a warhead next time, we will know it, and they will have ensured that they will be destroyed by a return attack. They bring a bomb to the fight, the world has a full arsenal to respond.
(3) My third consideration is that the religious fanatics want death and destruction to fall on their people, forcing a fulfillment of their prophesys. In other words that is their goal, and we need to take out the nuke stuff soon.
No real good options. Obaba’s “Let’s talk” strategy will work as well as Carter’s did.
