Is Iran’s New Nuclear Power Plant Test Really Such a Threat?
This article is sort of like “negative hyperbole.” While I’m sure a document exists that declares “every drop” of produced nuclear fuel will be supplied by the Iranians, counted by the IAEA, and carted off by Putin et al., it’s not the type of confidence-inducing agreement that prompts one to exhale with relief. Each member in that troika are demonstrated liars and more politely: no friends of Israel.
No, things *are* in fact getting quite hot this year — although who knows, the author may be “justified” in the end when Israel, in a desire to prioritize the use of her precious bunker-busters may in fact bypass Bushehr and concentrate on Natanz. That type of war gaming I’ll leave to Jane’s Defence Weekly. It was either them or a pair of similarly credentialed colleagues that recently ran just such a detailed analysis — it was mathematically impressive, void of politics, and concluded that a fair degree of damage could in fact be inflicted.
There are only two items holding up the strike. The first is the formation of the new government in Israel. The second is a type of “temporal deference” to the new Obama administration.
But even if the latter goes sour, there are still ways for Israel to get the job done by taking the seemingly “impossible” route over international waters the entire way. Granted it would require a huge number of mid-air refuelings and a sort of “Doolittle’s Raid” ditching of their planes into the sea afterwards (where hopefully their Dolphin class Subs would pick them up). But it would be one hell of a surprise.
Lastly, in support of my contention that it’s really heating up: there are now all kinds of reports of increased ground activity in Iran of sniper kills, blackmail, the introduction of defective parts and more going on. This can be unfortunately seen by their “reflection” upon failure. That is the increasing pace of arrests being announced by Iran of late. The frequency would indicate that these brave men are being pushed to take more chances — and that is an indication that Israel truly feels her time is running out. It’s also an indication that Israel is loosing resources on the ground as the torture of these men is working and their groups are getting “rolled up.”
