I must diasagree with Brendan.
The value of successive seasonal forecast failures is that it shows how little trust future climate prediction merits.
In the IPCCs TAR in 2001, regional climate prediction was discounted as impossible: model resolution was too grainy to allow it.
This did not prevent many scientists eagar to join the AGW bandwagon and claim federal research funding by issuing regoinal predictions about, for instance, the US West in 50 years time. Drought and heat here make headlines. And now 20 states are adopting climate policies based on pseudo science – claims that 47% of 530 climatologists surveyed in 2003 denied as legitimate.
Thus, the value of these back-t-oback seasonal failures in hurricane prediction show us that good science is in fact much more humble than the egregious IPCC FAR (the 2007 report) admits.
