A good narrative on Mesbah Yazdi for future historians.
But it seems, that in the intermediate term, that the most likely and real danger is not from the “Hardliner” faction represented by Mesbah and Ahmadinejad, but from the Reformists; i.e., European mullahs like Khatami and Rafsanjani, that are more likely to just be waiting in the wings to jump back into power later. And if that ‘coup’ occurs, the regime as a whole will attain a new lease on life for the foreseeable future.
This could happen by so-called “elections” in March 2008, or sooner if the opportunity presents itself. And as such, that opportunity may just present itself sooner than March in the form of US and allies military strike(s) on the IRGC Rev Guards and Ghods force bases inside Iran. If and when that occurs, the “Reformists” will have the perfect environment to openly oppose Ahmadinejad and try to stage a “change” from within the belly of the beast in their own favor. And that, if it occurs, will be a net loss for Iranian secular democracy for quiet some time to come.
To eradicate the totality of the regime, “Reformists” and all, we need more heightening of “irreconcilable antagonism” between the regime and the west, not less. A future Khatami/Rafsanjani camp government will do the opposite by reducing tensions with the west, not intensify them. The current Ahmadinejad/Mesbah/Khamenei faction in charge are doing a great job of antagonizing the west. Let them roll, I say! http://mor2com.blogspot.com/
