The American military will first be withdrawn and then will implode under the pressure of massive cutbacks and the exiting of career professionals. Obama will keep his campaign promises. He gave few specifics but those should be taken seriously. This will be followed by an orgy of violence around the world. Russia will bully, invade and blackmail its way back into power across the old Soviet empire. It started this morning with Medvedev scrapping the INF treaty to move missiles into Kaliningrad. The Baltic nations, Ukraine and the Caucasus are now naked in a jungle. The Chinese will find themselves recalculating the strategic choices Japan made in 1940, Strike North or Strike South? The people of Vietnam and The Philippines have reason to be afraid. The Indians face threats from China and disintegrating Pakistan. The tide of Nihilism from radicalizing Islam will send Indonesia along the path that Pakistan has followed. This will result in bloody carnage as the Chinese move in unconstrained by Western notions of constraint. Australia will be isolated and flickering in the gathering darkness. Africa will be the scene of massacres and disasters on a scale so vast as to strain human comprehension. The global economy, that gave some veneer of hope to those trying to escape from ignorance and subsistence living, will buckle under a wave of protectionism, regulation and asset grabs that are a return to Mercantilism and violence. Closer to home Chavez and the FARC will tear into Columbia like wolves on a horse. After that things will get ugly.
