As always, I come by 36 hours or so later to explain some things.
A few noted that I physically focused on western and southwestern PA. This is true, but unlike the elite media, I went on my own dime, actually combining this with a trip for my wife’s birthday; so that was where I went considering I have a full time job in Indianapolis I had to be at first thing Monday morning.
That said, I did contact both parties for quotes, spoke to folks from various towns, observed, cited/linked historical and current trends, etc. Is this normally done by freelancers or even the big salary liars in the NY Times? And where I went really was NOT rural but within the Pittsburgh area and Uniontown. These, as commenters have noted, are very Democratic areas in fact. Well over half the “local” comments believe that PA could or will be an “upset” and domino throughout the nation, for the record.
To Mandy, who questioned how I could call the PA primary a blowout — uh, BHO was favored in PA, or at the very worst it was a toss up. So yes, a NINE point win and 200,000+ votes is a blowout, especially after 50 days of campaigning. I have no idea what else to call it. Thanks for ignoring the entire article and focusing on the first lines, ma’am.
As a commenter from PA noted, Mandy:
“Gore won the 2000 election here by 205k vote. Hillary spanked Fauxbama (sic) here in the PRIMARIES by more votes, about 215k votes. That’s right, Hillary beat Fauxbama by more votes in the primary by 10,000 more votes that Gore won the state by in the General election and by 75,000 more votes than Kerry carried the state by.”
To the poll citers, no one with a semblance of intelligence takes polls seriously. They are meaningless, often incorrect, so as you can see, they dont apply. The national “pundits” are grossly ignorant of what’s going on on the ground in PA.
A good link, among many, that someone provided is here:
http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/2008/10/28/breaking-heres-what-we-know-about-pennsylvania-right-now/
In terms of “fessing up” if Obama wins, I made no prediction, just showed how and why McCain COULD win.
And to the guy whose comment was to cite Rick Moran’s piece from today (Thursday) I’d cite Jennifer Rubin’s from Wednesday. Some of us know the votes are not counted until Nov. 4 and prefer confidence to pessimism. Conservatives play right into the Democrats’ hand by assuming defeat. Let the people, not the media, have the final say, okay?
Take care, all. Vote early and…
